It has been an emotion-wracked week in Palestine/Israel. But I think AP’s Steven Gutkin was right when he noted this:
- So far Israel’s withdrawal from Gaza is as significant for what did not happen as for what did.
No major attacks from Palestinian militants. No use of weapons by settlers. No significant disruption of life inside Israel. No mass refusal of soldiers to carry out orders.
The army credits preparation and training for the relatively smooth pullout. But there are deeper reasons, too: Palestinians do not want to do anything to endanger the return of their land, and Israelis are reluctant to raise a hand against their own army.
Israel’s historic pullout from the Gaza Strip and parts of the northern West Bank is playing out with lightning speed. An operation that was supposed to take a month was nearly complete in 2 1/2 days, with 19 of 25 settlements slated for removal emptied before the weekend…
Here on JWN, I got an emotional set of reactions from supporters of Israel to my endorsement, a couple of days ago, of the proposition that the manner of evacuating the local settlers (and also, it must be said, many outside agitators) from Gaza looked as though it involved a good degree of stage-management from the authorities.
Commenter Diana asked (apparently a number of times), “What proof do you have that Israel staged the disengagement?… Cui bono?” I’ll reproduce lower in this post the answer I gave her.
Meanwhile, regarding the internal Israeli debate over the disengagement, I just read this fascinating piece in Sunday’s HaAretz, in which Israeli historian Tom Segev critiques the Israeli media’s coverage of the disengagement thus far:
- Some of the pictures were, in fact, heartrending, but it is not always possible to know whether the settlers are mourning the fate of the Jewish people, or only the loss of their Jacuzzis. Again and again they were described as “wonderful people,” agents of genuine Zionist patriotism. Most of the broadcasts were captives of the emotional manipulation created by the settlers, and adopted the thesis that evacuating the Gaza Strip is a national catastrophe and “is causing pain to all of us.”
Nobody described the evacuation as an opportunity, with hope. By not doing so, the broadcasts missed the real drama, namely that Israeli society is now attempting to rescue itself from the historic mistake it made almost 40 years ago, and is trying to find the way back to a different Zionist tradition.
If you want to get more of a glimpse of how the extremist settler activist used their children as human shields, while programing them explicitly in all kinds of hate-messaging, read this piece, by Ruth Sinai from tomorrow’s HaAretz, too.
Anyway, here’s what I replied to Diana’s question:
- [W]hat leads me to think that the government “stage-managed” the terms of the disengagement to the extent that it might be fair to say that aspects of it looked like a “great charade”?
A number of aspects of it. The main ones in my mind are
(1) the allowing of so many non-Gaza activist types to get into the settlements and stay there in some cases for a long time beforehand with no attempt to detain them and remove them before the evacuation of the “bona fide” Gaza settlers took place. Given the history of 1982 Yamit, would it not have been plain to any responsible Israeli planner that the “outsiders” might be expected to be much more emotional and militant than the “bona fide” Gaza settlers?
Why were so many outsiders “allowed” to infiltrate in? Reportedly there were several thousand. If several thousand, say, international activists for peace proved able to infiltrate into a closed military zone, do you imagine the Israeli authorities would have left them there to wander around and pursue their projects without detaining, removing, and most likely also bringing criminal charges against them? But in the weeks preceding the current evacuations, I haven’t seen any reports at all of the authorities taking such actions against the infiltrating settler extremists.
It thus seems clear that for some people in the chain of command– maybe at the cabinet level, maybe considerably lower– there were people who thought the presence in Gaza of those extremists (and their children brought in and shamelessly exploited as “human shields”) was, on balance, useful.
And of course, the presence of a number of thousand outside agitators (and their kids) inside the settlements made the final evacuation much, much harder– more expensive and more emotionally wrenching– to effect than would have been the case if simple police actions before the final evacuation had cleared all unauthorized persons out of the settlements, then allowing the real Gaza settlers to make up their own minds. (I gather that a large proportion of them had left peacefully, before the deadline.)
(2) giving such generous and gracious facilities to the local and international media to go in with the security forces, to be able to relay in exquisite detail images almost of every crying child, davening man, or shrieking-in-outrage woman to the outside world. Contrast this with the media “regime” when any completely serious forced-evacuation measure has to be taken…
I know that this was a very serious and very heart-wrenching for Jewish-Israeli society to take. I respect and understand that. I respect and understand that numerous members of the security forces sustained actual injuries in the course of these confrontations– and I certainly wish them the speediest possible recovery. But need the whole operation actually have been so massive and so confrontational? Not if the number of outside agitators inside the Strip had been kept down to a bare minimum beforehand.
The government and security forces had many months to prepare for this whole operation. Many aspects of their preparations– including, crucially, the prior collection of all weapons from the Gaza settlers– were very thoughtfully planned and implemented. The authorities had every opportunbity to put in place a much more serious regime to block infiltration of outsiders, and to sweep up in timely fashion any outsiders who might still have gotten through, than what they did. They failed to do so.
Cui bono? — you ask.
Well, after the “painful evacuation” from Yamit Sharon won his beloved settlement project a further 23 years before he felt it had come under sufficient pressure that a further retrenchment/reconsolidation of it would be necessary. In that time, how many hundreds of thousands of settlers have he and his friends been able to implant in East Jerusalem and the rest of the West Bank??
And this time around, how long does he hope it will it be after the “painful evacuation” of the Gaza settlements before another retrenchment of the project seems necessary?
Update: In this piece in Sunday’s HaAretz, Jonathan Lis writes:
- Since the pullout began on Wednesday, 949 arrests have been made. Police released 701 detainees that were not involved in violence against security forces.
Prisons are currently holding 310 disengagement opponents. Twenty-four detainees, including four minors, are in Ma’asiyahu Prison. The Dekel Prison in Be’er Sheva is holding 286 detainees, including 122 minors.
In the weeks leading up to the disengagement, IDF and police had expressed fears that massive infiltration into the settlements would bring in violent youths who would prolong the evacuation and make it mroe difficult. Police frequently expressed criticism of security forces stationed around the Gaza Strip, calling their policy “too lenient,” making the infiltration of thousands of pullout opponents possible.
Some police sources expressed reservations over the decision to release a vast majority of the infiltrators, saying, “The disengagement is not complete. One can assume that despite the detainees’ commitment not to return to the settlements, many of them will attempt to prevent the evacuation of the remaining settlers in the northern West Bank and Gaza Strip, or to participate in protest activities and disorder across the country.”
Over the days ahead, it seems we can expect further, perhaps even more emotional “dramas” from the two small settlement in the northern West Bank that remain to be evacuated. This, also from HaAretz:
- Opposition to the evacuation of Sa-Nur and Homesh in the northern West Bank, set to begin on Wednesday, is expected to be fierce. A senior police official said he believed the struggle would be violent and even escalate to the use of firearms.
However, another police official said Saturday, “Current intelligence information gives us no indication of an organized use of arms toward evacuating forces. However, we are preparing for any eventuality.”
Sticks, rocks, oil, sprays and other means are expected to be used against the evacuating forces, as in Kfar Darom. Another concern is that the settlers might enter nearby Arab villages and carry out attacks, as happened recently in Shiloh and Shfaram.
“What happened on the roof of the Kfar Darom synagogue is mild compared to what we expect at Sa-Nur and Homesh,” a senior IDF officer told Haaretz at the weekend.
…
The IDF is expected to complete the evacuation of all Gaza Strip settlements, as well as the four settlements in the northern West Bank, by the end of the week. Although officials have not ruled out the postponement of evacuation until the beginning of next week, IDF sources said that “we will have to work quickly because a continued siege in Sa-Nur and Homesh will impact the situation all over Samaria [i.e. the northern West Bank].”
A total of 2,100 people are now in Homesh and Sa-Nur, among them hundreds of radical youths and a large group of Chabad Hasids who have infiltrated in recent months. Of that number, 1,500 are in Homesh, where previously only 15 families had been living.
The residents of two other northern West Bank settlements – Ganim and Kadim – left voluntarily over the past several weeks. Infiltrations by night have continued over the past few days, even after the IDF declared the area closed last week. A number of right-wing activists have been arrested near both settlements.
The IDF attempt to collect weapons from the residents of the two settlements has met with only partial success… “We see a concentration of hundreds of extremists on Homesh who might react with violence and even use firearms,” police said Saturday.
Applying lessons learned from the evacuation in the Gaza Strip, the Central Command will be using harsh measures against pullout foes from the outset. Police anti-riot units and Border Police will enter the settlements first to clear rioters from the streets and only then go to the homes.
Mounted police will be deployed in greater numbers than in the Gaza Strip, along with water cannons. Arming the police with clubs is also under consideration.
“The force we apply at the outset might prevent serious escalation to violence later,” a senior officer said. “The only way to respond to their militancy is to finish it hard and fast. There is not a lot of room here for negotiation. They want a confrontation,” the officer said.
…
One police officer said that in recent weeks some families have fled what he called the “atmosphere of anarchy” now prevailing in the settlements. In recent days young people have been involved in scuffles with veteran residents of the two settlements.
In one case youths punctured the tires of the vehicle belonging to the civilian security officer in Homesh. Police sources said Saturday that one of the rabbis identified with Sa-Nur left the settlement after he told police he could no longer control the youths there. Extremist elements from nearby settlements, including Adei-Ad, Yitzhar and Itamar, have joined the group at Sa-Nur and Homesh in recent days.
“I am afraid the flames here will be higher than in the Gush. This group has nothing to lose – neither property, nor compensation, nor public opinion, which it didn’t have anyhow,” the officer said.
The IDF has stopped entering Sa-Nur, and now only those the settlers call “the good army” – Nahal soldiers in charge of their security – are going in…
First of all, I find that Tom Segev’s allusions to “jacuzzis” is just plain mean-spirited. (It reminds me of Begin’s ranting about the “millionaire” kibbutzniks and “their swimming pools”. It’s the exact same kind of demagoguery, and it is no less crap because Segev, and not Begin, says it!) I wonder if Segev has a jacuzzi? Or maybe he just has a health club membership? In any case, shame on him!
Now, Helena, I tend to agree with you that it is indeed disgusting that SOME settlers did, indeed, use their children in a cynical and self-serving manner. However, SOME Palestinians have been doing exactly that for the past four years. At least, to our credit, the government children’s welfare agency threatened to declare the adults unfit parents and remove the children to safety. I’d like to see the same kind of concern from Palestinian agencies. (Instead, all we get is Hanan Ashrawi shrieking that we have no right to suggest that Palestinians love their children and don’t exploit them for political gain. Bull, in both cases!)
Now, there are two more things that I want to say about the “settlers”.
First, I’ve known many and all kinds. Most are probably far less materialistic than me and the rest of us who tend to agree more with Tom Segev than with Efi Eitam. At least give them credit for being where they were, in most cases, for ideological reasons. Mistaken, in my view, but ideological never the less.
Second, Segev is correct that we need to try and make up for a 40 yearold error. Much of my tax money (not yours Helena) has been wasted on this enterprise, and from a purely Israeli point of view, I think that that is the long overdue reason for removing the settlements: They simply do not provide anything in return for the heavy costs we have paid socially and economically to establish and maintain them.
JES wrote:
“Most are probably far less materialistic than me and the rest of us who tend to agree more with Tom Segev than with Efi Eitam. At least give them credit for being where they were, in most cases, for ideological reasons. Mistaken, in my view, but ideological never the less.”
What you are actually saying is that, though it may be wrong that they were were they were, since they were were they were for ideological reasons, it is somehow less wrong than it would have been when they would have been were they were for other reasons than ideological ones.
I disagree. It’s not because of money that the settlement project in the occupied territories is wrong; it is the project itself, and the ideology that drives it that is wrong. You talk about money, where you should talk about morality. The settlers were and are wrong because of there immoral, racist ideology. But to you it’s mainly an internal Israeli problem: the economical and social costs are too high, and “that is the long overdue reason for removing the settlements”.
What you are saying is not part of any possible solution.
It’s part of the problem.
Helena, I think it is likely that Sharon planned this with maximum propaganda returns in mind, particularly in regards to the US. If so, it worked. Coverage of the evacuations here has been over the top with sympathy towards the settlers, and almost completely without context.
JES, it wasn’t just the Israelis who paid for those illegal settlements. Americans did as well. Apparently we are being expected to pay for the evacuations as well.
Menno,
Please go back and read what I wrote. The settlers are attacked, as a group, by the likes of Tom Segev for being in the territories primarily for materialistic reasons (i.e. they’re crying because of the loss of their jacuzzis). Even Helena appears to get off calling them “pampered” because of their subsidized existence. Further, the problem of the settlements has to be settled ultimately by Israel and Israelis; not by the Palestinians or by international do-gooders. We therefore have to understand what the costs are to us – in economic and social terms.
No Preference,
The US has attached restrictive clauses to foreign aid and, more importantly, to the loan guarantees to Israel. Even if one argues that aid money used within the Green Line indirecty allowed funds to go to the settlements, you are ignoring the fact that, had there been no settlements, that money could have been used within the Green Line for things such as education and social welfare programs. Instead, we have had to live with a much, much higher tax rate than any American pays and with inferior social programs. That is the cost of the settlements, and it’s been borne by Israelis to a much greater extent than Americans. Further, I would expect that anyone complaining about the use of US tax dollars in the settlements should be equally adamant about the use of US taxpayer money in funding the Karin A and Muhammad Dahlan’s villa in Gaza rather than going toward building an economic infrastructure, which I believe was the intent.
JES, Israelis, not Americans, made the choice to lavish US foreign aid on the settlements. US aid to Palestine is a tiny pittance compared to what we have given Israel, as you well know.
The cost of the settlements to the US goes far beyond the money we have given Israel. Far more costly to the US has been our defense of the indefensible, decade after decade, with our veto in the UN Security Council. That may be tough for you to see or care about sitting over there, and it clearly is not a consideration for American supporters of Israel. But it helped get us where we are today.
Well, if Steven Gutkin considers the killing of four Palestinians by Jewish terrorist is a non-event, maybe he’s right!
What is extraordinary about one, two, or four (or a million) Palestinian civilians being shot dead anyway? It’s a daily event, and to people like Gutkin, something is amiss for the day only when there’s no dead Palestinian.
No Preference,
You are free to believe what you want. Personally I think that you’ve stated a nice polemic, but no real argument.
Israel did not “lavish” US foreign aid on the settlements. The US has had stringent requirements about that money not being used outside the Green Line.
It makes no difference whether US aid to Palestinians is a “pittance” or a fortune in comparison. This is the same argument that we see here, that because more Palestinians have died in the recent violence than Israelies, that the Palestinians are somehow more “innocent”. I don’t think that really flies. The Palestinians also are responsible for where they are today!
The US has supported Israel in the UN primarily because it has been in the interest of the US to do so.
Prime Minister Sharon has requested $2.2 billion from the Bush administration for the costs of the Gaza pullout and relocation.
Pat Buchanan on the McLaughlin Group:
“There are about 1,900 settler families there. That’s over a million dollars for each settler family, when we give $100,000 for the family of every American killed in Iraq.
This is an outrage to request that kind of money. We don’t owe a dime here. The Israelis should not have moved into Gaza. It was never their territory. They went in there against our advice and counsel and against international law. They should pay the price of the withdrawal here.”
Prime Minister Sharon has requested $2.2 billion from the Bush administration for the costs of the Gaza pullout and relocation.
Pat Buchanan on the McLaughlin Group:
“There are about 1,900 settler families there. That’s over a million dollars for each settler family, when we give $100,000 for the family of every American killed in Iraq.
This is an outrage to request that kind of money. We don’t owe a dime here. The Israelis should not have moved into Gaza. It was never their territory. They went in there against our advice and counsel and against international law. They should pay the price of the withdrawal here.”
Arthur,
Pat Buchanan aside, let’s get two things straight here.
First, the funding requested was for development of the Galilee and the Negev, not for the disengagement as well as, I believe, for revamping the border crossings (which will presumably benefit the Palestinians as well). It was not requested for use in funding either the disengagement or in compensating the settlers.
Secondly, the money was REQUESTED. Governments can request a lot of things. It hasn’t been – and it doesn’t look as if it will be – granted.
Finally, I don’t see the relationship between the first part of Buchanan’s demagogic statement and the second part. Not only are the families not getting anywhere near a million dollars per family, nor are they receiving compensation from US aid, and there is absolutely no connection between the disengagement and Iraq.
That the colonists in Gaza were pampered, one has only to look at the numbers: 8 000 colonists occupying 20% of the land and controlling 30% of the water. This left the 1.2 million Palestinians with the rest. Needless to say, the colonists
The US has supported Israel in the UN primarily because it has been in the interest of the US to do so.
What a bitter joke.
How has the US use of its veto to defeat resolutions critical of Israeli settlements been in the interest of the US?
The fact is that has been in the interest of US politicians to support Israel in the UN. But for the country as a whole, our ongoing support of Israel has been an enormous liability.
The US has had stringent requirements about that money not being used outside the Green Line.
JES, you were more honest earlier when you acknowledged that any money the US gives to Israel supports the settlements. This is an obvious fact; money is fungible.
JES, do you think it’s right that American taxpayers should pay for the Israeli withdrawal from Gaza?
JES wrote:
“The settlers are attacked, as a group, by the likes of Tom Segev for being in the territories
primarily for materialistic reasons (i.e. they’re crying because of the loss of their
jacuzzis).”
True, they were not there for materialistic reasons; that was merely a bonus they accepted happily. But living the luxurious lifes of colonists in someone else’s land, in the midst of the poverty and misery of the owners of that land, is in itself reason enough for criticism.
“Further, the problem of the settlements has to be settled ultimately by Israel and Israelis; not by the Palestinians or by international do-gooders. We therefore have to understand what the costs are to us – in economic and social terms.”
But you don’t pay the real price for the settlement project: the Palestinians do. They don’t seem to exist in your universe. True, Israeli society pays a high price too: the moral corruption which was caused by the occupation- and settlement-policy. But that’s not the price you’re talking about. It should, though.
No Preference,
In answer to your first question: From the late 1960s through the fall of the Soviet Union, the veto served the interest of the US in countering the cynical Soviet use of issues such as Palestine to manipulate the “non-Aligned” nations of the Thrid World. Following the rise of the Islamic Republic of Iran, US support for Israel served the interests of the US in securing the free movement of its energy supplies.
You may not think that it was in the US interest to counter the Soviet Union’s aggressive nature or to oppose fanatical Muslim hegemony of the world’s major oil reserves (the Carter Doctrine). That is your right. But the US certainly did not support Israel because its leaders felt it against US interests or because of the influence of some mysterious cabal, or masons or Jewish controlled illuminati!
By way of comparison, during the 1950s when, under Eisenhower and the Dulles State Department, the US adopted a policy that was decidedly not pro-Israel, the US did not recognize any real benefits and, in fact, were manipulated to the hilt by Nasser’s double dealing.
You can claim that it is in the interest of US politicians to support Israel in the UN, but apart from the rantings of Paul Findley and Cynthia McKinney, I don’t really think there is any proof of this. Fact is that there are numerous US politicians who criticize Israel and still get re-elected every year. By the same token there are apparently millions of American citizens, including politicians, who support Israel simply because they think that it is the right thing to do.
In answer to your second question (or rather assertion of the “obvious”): Yes, it is obvious that money is fungible (money can also disappear as has happened in the PA). However, Israel is not operating under a budget surplus by any stretch of the imagination. The fact is that had monies not been funneled into the territories, and had the settlers paid their full tax burden as I do (over 60% of my income) the $1 billion or so of US civilian aid (which has been declining every year for the past five years and will be eliminated in another five years) would have been available for other purposes. That, my friend, is the other side of the fungibility issue!
Finally for your last question: No, I do not think that the American taxpayer should foot the bill for the withdrawal, and I don’t believe that I said that he or she should.
An informative article on refugees in Gaza, the PLO and the UN. The spin on this should be interesting.
http://www.camera.org/index.asp?x_context=7&x_issue=52&x_article=960
Helena, this is what I wrote when the Loewenstein-Kimmerling theory [that the disengagement was ‘staged’] came up on my site:
In answer to your further comments above, I’ll add the following:
Some of the infiltrators may have made it in through ‘gray refusal’ – i.e., soldiers not checking incoming cars as thoroughly as they could have. This wasn’t government policy, though; it was something the higher echelons tried their best to stop. And while your faith in the planning ability of the Israeli government is quite flattering, mistakes will always be made, and not all the planning for the evacuation was thoughtful and rigorous. For instance, the problem of housing for the returning settlers was only partially solved and is likely to cause trouble in the near future. So the infiltrators can be explained more easily in terms of logistical loopholes than calculated stage-management. (Just for comparison’s sake, would you hold the PA security forces responsible for not stopping every single rocket attack against Israel, or cite the persistence of such attacks as proof that they aren’t trying?)
In other words, every aspect of the evacuation that is cited in support of the ‘stage-management’ theory can be explained, with much fewer strokes of Occam’s razor, in terms of ordinary politics and protest. In fact, I don’t think the logical threads hang together at all unless they’re supported by some pretty nasty a priori assumptions about the character of Israelis and the Israeli state, which I don’t believe are borne out in fact.
Finally – but, I think, tellingly – if the Loewenstein-Kimmerling plan had been tried and failed, I’m certain that Loewenstein and Kimmerling wouldn’t have given Sharon any benefit of the doubt. I’m sure that, in this circumstance, they themselves would now be castigating Sharon for not using force against the settlers – “plan designed to fail,” “unwilling to confront the extremists,” “leaving the Palestinians to clean up Israel’s mess.” And – honestly now, Helena – wouldn’t you be joining them? Unless you can answer “no” to that, I think you owe some consideration for the judgment call Sharon made, which resulted in Gaza being successfully evacuated in just over a week.
In answer to your first question: From the late 1960s through the fall of the Soviet Union, the veto served the interest of the US in countering the cynical Soviet use of issues such as Palestine to manipulate the “non-Aligned” nations of the Thrid World. Following the rise of the Islamic Republic of Iran, US support for Israel served the interests of the US in securing the free movement of its energy supplies.
This is complete nonsense. US vetoes in support of Israel didn’t “counter” just the Soviets. They “countered” the entire world. Many of those votes are by 14-1 margins.
Israel is of no use in “securing the free movement of (US) energy supplies”. We couldn’t possibly ask for Israeli military help for that. Israel is such a liability that during the two Gulf wars we begged Israel not to get involved.
If we want to “secure the free movement of our energy supplies”, a good place to start would be by dropping our one-sided support for Israel.
As for the power of the Israeli lobby and the freedom of our politicians to go against it, what you have posted is simply AIPAC’s talking points on the issue. I have observed US Middle East policy for many years, and all I can say is that it does not accord at all with what I have seen. Who are those “numerous” Senators and Congressmen who “criticize Israel”?
Jonathan, the American media coverage I have seen over the past week has tended to be heavily sympathetic to the settlers. Anne Barnard’s reporting for the Boston Globe is an example.
Jonathan Steele has a very salutory column in today’s Guardian, putting the Gaza withdrawal in perspective:
The settlers’ retreat was the theatre of the cynical
Contrast the world’s overwhelming coverage, especially on television, of the departure of Israeli settlers from Gaza with the minimal reporting of larger and more brutal evictions in previous months.
There was no “sensitivity training” for Israeli troops, no buses to drive the expellees away, no generous deadlines to get ready, no compensation packages for their homes, and no promise of government-subsidised alternative housing when the bulldozers went into Rafah.
Within sight of the Gush Katif settlements that have been handled with such kid gloves this week, families in Rafah were usually given a maximum of five minutes’ warning before their houses, and life savings, were crushed. Many people did not even have time to go upstairs to collect belongings when the barking of loudspeakers ordered them out, sometimes before dawn. Fleeing with their children in the night, they risked being shot if they turned round or delayed.
As many as 13,350 Palestinians were made homeless in the Gaza Strip in the first 10 months of last year by Israel’s giant armour-plated Caterpillar bulldozers – a total that easily exceeds the 8,500 leaving Israeli settlements this week.
. . .
No Preference,
First of all, this is JES, not Jonathan.
“They “countered” the entire world. Many of those votes are by 14-1 margins.”
Sorry, but what you say is utter nonsense. I think that the “entire world” comprises more than 15 members of the UN! Apart from this descent into hyperbole of yours, let’s not be naive or sanctamonious about the operations of the UN. I suggest you read Daniel Patrick Moynihan – who was there and vetoing – about how many of those votes were sold to the highest bidder.
“We couldn’t possibly ask for Israeli military help for that. Israel is such a liability that during the two Gulf wars we begged Israel not to get involved.”
Nobody says that the US should ask Israel for help. As for the US “begging” Israel not to get involved, I find this interesting. Those of your ilk usually accuse us of goading the US into these wars so that we wouldn’t have to fight them (which is pure bull).
“If we want to “secure the free movement of our energy supplies”, a good place to start would be by dropping our one-sided support for Israel.”
This is your opinion. You’re entitled to it, but I think you are wrong. Dropping supposed “one-sided” support for Israel would, in my opinion, not be any more effective in disuading radical Islam than was, say, Chamberlain dropping Britain’s “one-sided” support of Czechoslovakia.
As I pointed out earlier, the US tried that tack through most of the 1950s and into the early 1960s. It did not have the results that you speculate on, and there was far less religious fanaticism in the region at that time.
“As for the power of the Israeli lobby and the freedom of our politicians to go against it, what you have posted is simply AIPAC’s talking points on the issue. I have observed US Middle East policy for many years, and all I can say is that it does not accord at all with what I have seen.”
Simply AIPAC talking points, eh? Well, I think that you need to explain exactly how it is that six million Jews (a good number of whom are either not supporters of Israel or are anti-Israel) are able to control the entire Congress and the White House and, more imoportantly, as you imply, the majority of the electorate of the US. Sure, the so-called Israel lobby can be effective in getting bills passed, but they do not control the US government or, more to the point, coerce US leaders to act in ways that they believe are antithetical to the interest of the United States.
“…the American media coverage I have seen over the past week has tended to be heavily sympathetic to the settlers.”
That final statement of yours deserves a big “so what?” American media coverage tends to pick up on whatever it looks like will sell. If little Muhammed ad-Dura will get an audience, they’ll kill him again and again, in slow motion. If Arafat dying looked like it would sell, then you got shot after shot of the old pedophile with his quivering lip getting on the helicopter, complete with all sorts of bull about how much his people loved him.
So why do you all make such a big deal about the settlers getting TV coverage?
JES, the last sentence in my previous post was directed towards Jonathan Edelstein.
I think that the “entire world” comprises more than 15 members of the UN!
There are 15 members of the UN Security Council. When the US votes against the other 14 that does amount to the US voting against the rest of the world.
You raise a number of straw men in your post, such as the suggestion that I believe that the Israel lobby controls the US government. I’m not going to bother with those.
However, I would like to see your list of the “numerous” Senators and Congressmen who freely criticize Israel. Would it be possible for you to produce that?
Jonathan, the American media coverage I have seen over the past week has tended to be heavily sympathetic to the settlers. Anne Barnard’s reporting for the Boston Globe is an example.
The settlers’ main battle is for Israeli public opinion, though, and they seem to be much less successful in that regard. Israelis are seeing much more of the withdrawal over a more extended period than Americans are, and the developing consensus seems to be that the soldiers are acting with great restraint and professionalism while the infiltrators… aren’t. The jury’s still out at this point, but I suspect that the Gaza evacuation will be cited as a precedent in favor of further withdrawals rather than a trauma counseling against them.
In any event, the issue of sympathetic media coverage is orthogonal to the main topic of this thread: i.e., whether the withdrawal was somehow stage-managed. Loewenstein and Kimmerling seem to believe that the evacuation could have been managed more efficiently and with less bathos if the IDF had simply withdrawn from or blockaded Gaza rather than forcibly evicting the settlers. For the reasons discussed above, I don’t think this is so, and that such a procedure would have resulted in more tearful protests and the possibility of holdout settlers shooting it out with Palestinians. As such, the risks of the Loewenstein-Kimmerling approach would have outweighed the potential rewards, and Sharon’s judgment call to evict the settlers – which, after all, resulted in Gaza being evacuated successfully in a week – isn’t evidence of stage-management.
Not to mention that there is absolutely no proof of an overall agreement between the Israeli government and the settlers to stage-manage the withdrawal for mutual advantage. Espionage novels notwithstanding, it’s impossible in practice to keep such a colossal conspiracy secret – if the “Sharon is a traitor” rhetoric were indeed all for the cameras, then surely some loose-lipped Kahanist would have spilled the beans. Occam’s razor cuts very clearly here: the passion was genuine, the protests were genuine, and the clashes during the evacuation were not street theater but the real deal.
Jonathan, I don’t doubt that much of the passion shown by the protesters was heartfelt and genuine, though there was also a performative aspect to some of it, too. “Performative” doesn’t mean it wasn’t heartfelt but can certainly add an extra layer to the outward manifestations– as in many religious ceremonies including the Shia observance of Ahura.
What we SAW were only the outward manifestations– of the settlers’ and outside agitators’ lamentations and of the soldiers’ frequent sense of stress (crying etc), as well.
To what extent did the terms under which the withdrawal were planned ensure that there would indeed be all that emotionalism, and also that we (and the Israelis) would see it? I still maintain that better administration of the border controls in that military area could easily have reduced the number of outside agitators to near-zero, and cut the access of the media people considerably, too.
Btw, how do you account for this extraoridnary quote, from the police commander supervising the last set of evacuations from Netzarim, today?
“It’s tougher to see them go quietly, not fighting,” said Hagai Dotan, the police commander overseeing the evacuation, as he watched the tearful and resigned settlers board the convoy.
The Netzarim settlers were described as, “driving to the Western Wall in Jerusalem, Judaism’s holiest shrine, and from there to temporary homes in a West Bank settlement.”
I still maintain that better administration of the border controls in that military area could easily have reduced the number of outside agitators to near-zero, and cut the access of the media people considerably, too.
The IDF and police had a lot of jobs to do in the weeks before the withdrawal – containing the big settler demonstrations in the Negev, patrolling the borders, preventing Palestinian attacks (of which there turned out to be only a few, but there was no way to be sure of that in advance), hunting down armed deserters in the wake of the Shfaram attack and trying to control access to Sa Nur and Homesh. To ask that they hermetically seal Gaza at the same time is, I think, asking a bit much, particularly when it’s done in hindsight. The job they did was creditable.
And why would it have been a good thing to “cut the access of the media people?” This event was news – very significant news in fact – and the media had a right to be there.
Btw, how do you account for this extraoridnary quote, from the police commander supervising the last set of evacuations from Netzarim, today?
Why is that quote “extraordinary?” I think that any police officer would find it emotionally harder to evict people who go quietly and tearfully than those who fight. That’s the power of civil disobedience – that it causes shame in the authorities. This is so even if the people practicing civil disobedience are advocating a cause that the authorities oppose. I find nothing at all extraordinary about this quote, and it’s certainly nothing that would suggest stage-management.
The Netzarim settlers were described as, “driving to the Western Wall in Jerusalem, Judaism’s holiest shrine, and from there to temporary homes in a West Bank settlement.”
The NYT casts a bit more light on this. Some of the Netzarim settlers will live temporarily in empty college dorms in Ariel, but are planning a long-term move to the Negev. No new West Bank houses are being built for them.
BTW, I agree that the settlers’ outward manifestations may have had a “performative aspect” to them. The question is, what were they performing? Loewenstein is suggesting that their emotional manifestations were part of a prepared script, agreed upon in advance with the Israeli government, with the object of preventing future evacuations. I don’t think there’s evidence of this. Instead, the settlers’ object in letting the public see their (genuine) grief was to prevent this evacuation. Even at the last minute, many of them were hoping that soldiers would refuse orders en masse when they saw the people they were uprooting. They were, in other words, at cross purposes with the government rather than in cahoots with it.
A second reason for the settlers’ tears might have been ceremonial, similar to your comparison with the Ashura ceremony. The Jewish religion also has a long tradition of public lamentation, beginning with the destruction of the First Temple. Indeed, Tisha b’Av, which commemmorates exactly that event (and many other calamities), occurred the day before the evacuation began, so both the settlers and the soldiers were emotionally prepared for such lamentation. Their tears were, like Ashura or Tisha B’Av, a genuine outpouring of spiritual grief that is in line with Jewish religious tradition. (Surely you wouldn’t suggest that Ashura is a stage-managed spectacle.)
And finally – well, whatever we may think of the settlers politically, they’re human beings who were saying goodbye to their homes. Some of them had lived in those homes all their lives. Under those conditions, I can’t imagine them leaving without tears and curses. So underneath any performative aspect was a great deal of real, heartfelt grief. Such grief isn’t a reason to change one’s political attitude toward the settlements and is certainly not a reason to capitulate to the settler movement’s agenda, but I think it explains a great deal about the settlers’ behavior that Loewenstein doesn’t (or chooses not to) see.
No Preference,
That’s still not voting against the “whole world”. It’s voting against the highly political security council. There’s a big difference, and it’s still meaningless hyperbole.
Straw man? I don’t think so. I think that that’s pretty much what you implied.
I’d like to hear an answer.
If it makes it easier, I don’t have or intend to compile a list of US politicians who openly crticize Israel, because it will never be “numeous” enough, or critical enough of Israel for you to accept it.
So, there you have it. I’ve admitted I don’t have a list. No let’s hear what it was that you really meant about the powerful Israel lobby, and why thre are, apparently and according to my own admission, absolutely no critics of Israel in Congress, and why the US has knowingly acted directly counter to it’s interests for the past 40 years.
JES is one of those guys who pretend that how UN members vote has nothing to do with their countries’ positions on issues. No, the votes would be different were it not for the highly politicized atmosphere of the Security Council (or General Assembly). Must be something in the air coming off the East River. What a joke.
JES, you claimed that there are numerous US politicians who freely criticize Israel. Can you name, say, ten out of the 535 members of Congress? That would be a start.
Or five. Can you name five?
Well No Preference, since you insist I did a quick search for documented evidence of members of Congress who have freely criticized Israel. I found the following Web page concerning HR 713 from July 14, 2004, which “deplores the International Court of Justice advisory opinion finding that the Wall Israel is building in the West Bank is illegal.”
There is a list there of 45 members representatives who voted against this bill, refusing, according to the article to “endorse this knee-jerk resolution rushed to the floor by the supporters of Israel’s military occupation.”
Does that satisfy you for members of Congress who have freely expressed views that counter those of Israel and its supporters?
Re. your remark, again, the issue is not whether or not the votes express their government’s views. I’m sure they do. And I bet those views are influenced by political considerations. But again, the point is that it is a bit of hyperbole to accuse the US of voting against the “entire world”. (And, now that I think of it, does the fact that the “entire world” does something make it right?)
So now maybe you’ll answer my question as to what you meant about the “powerful Israel lobby” and the US apparently willfully and knowingly acting against its own interests? (Or is that too much to expect from someone with no preference?)
JES, hi. 45 members of congress voting against the bill to “deplore” the ICJ ruling on the wall/barrier… (The source you referred to didn’t come thru but I’ll trust you on that.) I find it very depressing that only 45 members out of 435 members of the House of representatives would oppose a bill that “deplores” a position enshrined in international law.
If it had been 45 senators, now, out of 100, that would have been something.
Helena,
Thank you for trusting me!
Perhaps you would care to share with me the basis for your assertion that camera.org is “harshly anti-Palestinian”? I’d really like to hear about that.
Also, while we’re on the subject of walls/barriers, do you have any idea as to when the ICJ is going to hand down a ruling on the wall/barrier that the EU is building on the Eastern Front?
BTW, isn’t it 102 senators? I thought that Israel was the 51st state.
JES, those 45 Congressmen were voting on a bill critical of the World Court, not a bill critical of Israel. Nice try, but that’s not answer.
Well No Preferance, I did a little more research and I have a list of 20 members of congress who received a +4 rating or higher from the US Campaign to End the Israeli Occupation. The complete list is presented on the Project Vote Smart Web site at: http://www.vote-smart.org/issue_rating_detail.php?sig_id=003519M
Positive ratings indicate actions in support for the organization’s positions (i.e. “criticism” of Israel, as you put it). The range of possible ratings is -10 through +10 (although there were no -10s). So here is the list:
Lynn Woolsy D CA +6
George Miller D CA +4
Barbara Lee D CA +8
Pete Stark D CA +7
Lois Capps D CA +6
Maxine Waters D CA +6
Darrell Issa R CA +4
John Dingle D MI +10 (the winner)
William Clay D MO +6
David Price D NC +5
Melvin Watt D NC +6
Donald Payne D NJ +4
Maurice Hinchey NY +4
Dennis Kucinich OH +8 (surprise, surprise)
Ron Paul R TX +7
James Moran D VA +5
Jim Jeffords Ind VT +4 (Senate)
Brian Baird D WA +5
Jim McDermott D WA +5
Nick Joe Rahall D WV +7
Okay, does that satisfy you?
That isn’t really an analogous situation, given that the EU is building its fence on its own territory. On the other hand, you might legitimately ask when there will be a ruling on the Moroccan wall in Western Sahara.
One more thing on the “stage-management” issue: I don’t think Loewenstein et. al. are taking into account the damage that Sharon’s political career has sustained from the withdrawal. At this point, his political survival depends on the evacuation being seen as successful, so he has an interest in it being carried out without trauma. The fact that it happened so quickly will improve his chances of remaining in office, whereas the Yesha movement wanted a drawn-out process that would damage him irreparably in Israeli public opinion. Again, this points to Sharon and Yesha being at cross purposes.
And, ironically, the plan suggested by Loewenstein and Kimmerling would have been far more likely to lead to the kind of trauma that Yesha wants.
Jonathan,
Point taken on the EU wall. (Although I personally don’t believe that there will be much of an EU left within a decade.)
Also, that is a good point you make about Sharon’s political career. By Israeli standards, he is not too old to continue in politics, and I don’t believe that he is ready to retire.
I didn’t vote for the man, and probably would still vote for Shimon Peres or Mitzna if I had the chance, but I do have to admit that Sharon showed quite a bit of courage and leadership by putting it on the line.
JES, we agree on this: I do have to admit that Sharon showed quite a bit of courage and leadership by putting [the withdrawal] on the line.
JES, thanks for finding and posting that list. It is interesting to know that 20 out of 535 Congressmen have a record that could be described as quite sympathetic to Palestinians.
At the same time, according to the same ratings 275 legislators can be described as very pro-Israeli. That views of the electorate are far more balanced than those numbers show.
Still, good for you for digging up this information. It’s refreshing to see.
Preference,
You saw the list, now would you care to share with us how “for the country as a whole, our ongoing support of Israel has been an enormous liability.”
I think that it is you, actually, who has raised a straw man argument – that being the issue of the pro-Israel lobby somehow getting politicians to work against US interests.
I think that if you look into that list (and remember, I didn’t include those who had plus ratings of 1 – 3) you’ll see that these ratings were based on voting records of the last session for members currently sitting in the House and Senate. That means that, in the case of the House, all those people voted in a way that is presumably contrary to the wishes of the supposed all-powerful Israel lobby, and still managed to be re-elected.
JES, the Israeli lobby certainly does get American politicians to work against American interests. Our protection of Israeli settlements through the use of the veto in the Security Council is very damaging to US interests. We have a big problem with the Moslem world. Our one-soded support of Israel; is part of that.
all those people voted in a way that is presumably contrary to the wishes of the supposed all-powerful Israel lobby, and still managed to be re-elected.
All those 20 people, out of 535. Twenty is more than I would have suspected, but it’s still miniscule.
Nice try Preference.
But isn’t it just possible that the other 515 voted the way they did because that’s what they and their constituents believe is in the interest of the US?
Again, look at the statistics, some of the remaining 515 also occasionally voted against the “all-powerful” lobby; I just didn’t include those who had weaker “anti-occupation” records, or weaker “pro-Israel” records.
Your sole argument here is that you have an opinion about what you believe is best for the US, which must be correct, therefore anyone who disagrees with that opinion is acting against the interests of the US. (Note, that I am assuming you argue in good faith, and that you are not, a priori, in favor of what is bad for the US.) It’s nice that you are comitted to firm belief; it doesn’t mean that you’re right!
You say:
“We have a big problem with the Moslem world. Our one-soded support of Israel; is part of that.”
Perhaps. But did it ever occur to you that radical Islam and the Muslim leadership may also be a big part of it? (It might be instructive for you to think about how many UN “pro-Israel” vetos Turkey supported, for example, and then tell me why they have such an apparent problem with the rest of the “Muslim world”?)
I certainly would consider that. I have pointed out to you several times, that the US has not been particularly “rewarded” by the Muslim world for taking positions less favorable to Israel.
Finally, US voting behavior in the Security Council is far more complex than you argue. It is not merely a matter of “protection of Israeli settlements” (which I don’t think is either part of expressed US foreign policy or something that the US particularly does), much of it is a matter of what appear to be very one-sided resolutions that blame Israel but avoid the culpability or responsibility of the other side (a very popular sport among anti-Zionist crowds).
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