Not at Gitmo (yet)

I was supposed to be in Guantanamo today. Actually, the beginning of the story was that I was supposed to be there last Wednesday, October 11. As I’d noted here back on September 29, Mr. Cully Stimson, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Detainee Affairs, had invited me on a Pentagon-organized tour of the detention camp there, and I had agreed to go…
The October 11 trip got postponed a week agobecause of his office’s difficulties getting hold of a Pentagon Gulfstream in which to take the group. I reorganized my schedule. This Monday, his people called to say they couldn’t get hold of the Gulfstream this Wednesday, either. I called him yesterday to see what was going on. He explained that, since it is congressional recess time, members of the US Congress have been going on a lot of trips using the Pentagon’s executive jets, so our group had once again been bumped. I will be busy for the next couple of Wednesdays– I’m going to Amman for the UNU seminar on “Nonviolence”. So we left it that if there’s a trip on Novermber 8, then he will try to get me on it.
So I’d been doing all this research about Guantanamo, as my preparation for going there! I’ve read not only Joseph Margulies’s book, but also the very informative books by (freed British detainee) Moazzam Begg, Erik Saar, and David Rose. Still to read: Steven Miles’s “Oath Betrayed” and James Yee’s “For God and Country.”
I’ve done a bunch of research on the web. In case you want to do some, too, I’m happy to share with you the portal to around 40 web documents, nearly all of them very interesting, that I created with “del.icio.us” last week.
But the most interesting and inspiring thing I did was to interview a number of the US-based lawyers who have been giving up significant amounts of their time and resources to work pro-bono on Guantanamo-related cases. For example, when I was in DC a couple of weeks ago I interviewed Muneer Ahmad, who’s an Assistant Professor at American University’s Washington College of Law. He’s one of two attorneys representing Omar Khadr, a young Canadian man whose militantly fundamentalist Muslim parents raised him to follow exactly in their footsteps…
In July 2002, Khadr was 15 years old and fighting with an Al-Qaeda unit in southeastern Afghanistan when he was injured severely in a fierce battle against US Special Forces, and was taken prisoner by them. An American medic reportedly saved Khadr’s life on the battelfield. The Special Forces then took him to Bagram “with a bullet-split chest and serious shrapnel wounds to the head and eye.”
Jeff Tietz of Rolling Stone wrote recently, that after Khadr arrived in Bagram,

Continue reading “Not at Gitmo (yet)”

The new global Star Chamber?

Yesterday, President Bush signed the Military Commissions Act of 2006. It was a defining moment, marking the first time that a duly enacted statute in this country has stripped the essential, age-old provisions of habeas corpus away from a whole class of people held prisoner by the US government.
Habeas protections have been suspended here twice before. But on both those occasions, the suspension was done only by executive order– by President Lincoln during the Civil War of the 19th century and by President Franklin D. Roosevelt during World War 2; and on both those previous occasions, the suspension was lifted with the end of hostilities. By contrast, the present stripping of habeas from a whole class of persons has been written into US law and has no predictable termination point. Some critics have claimed that this makes the new Military Commissions something like the infamous Star Chamber of Britain during the 15th-17th centuries. However, at least the Star Chamber coexisted with habeas, which had been enshrined in British common law since the 13th century, or perhaps earlier.
So maybe the new Military Commissions are even worse than the Star Chamber?
The persons from whom the MCA has stripped habeas protection are those determined by a body formed by the US military that is called a “Combatant Status Review Tribunal” to fall into a category called “unlawful enemy combatants”. The CSRT process had been devised as a way for the US military to claim that it minimally met the requirements of Article 5 of the 3rd Geneva Convention, the convention concerning treatment of prisoners of wa. (Protections for POWs are significantly different from– and superior to– those afforded to common criminals.) Article 5 states that if any doubt should arise as to whether a detained person is a POW or not, “such persons shall enjoy the protection of the present Convention until such time as their status has been determined by a competent tribunal.
In July 2004, after the Supreme Court ruled that British citizen Shafiq Rasul and a number of other men held prisoner in Guantanamo did indeed have the right to an Article 5 hearing, the administration established the CSRTs for the Guantanamo prisoners. The nearly 700 prisoners then held at Gitmo then had hearings before these (notably unfair) bodies, which judged that the vast majority of them were not POWs but were “unlawful enemy combatants”. (I’ve relied for a lot of the info in this post on Joseph Margulies’s excellent book Guantanamo and the Abuse of Presidential Power. It is a great guide through the Kafka-esque maze of regulations that have affected the Gitmo detainees.)
Note that the Gitmo detainees have all along been consigned to a limbo-like universe that “falls between the cracks” of normal and predictable legal regimes. They were brought to Gitmo– most of them between December 2001 and fall 2004, though 14 of them just this past September– precisely because the Bush administration judged that the Guantanamo Naval Base was neither US sovereign territory nor territory that was under US military occupation as per international law. If the former were true, then the detainees would have all the protections that US law affords– as happened, for example, to Ramzi Yousef, who was snatched by the Clinton administration from, I believe, someplace in Pakistan, and brought to New York where he was put on trial. And if the latter were true, then the US military could only capture and hold prisoners in line with the strictures of Geneva Conventions numbers 3 and 4. And indeed, regarding all US military operations inside Iraq, the administration does say it considers itself subject to these Geneva Conventions. Hence the anomaly that Saddam Hussein has been treated considerably better in every way, including in his access to legal counsel and other legal protections, than the 700 or so people who have spent many years at Guantanamo and have never had any credible evidence brought against them.
However, in its judgment on Rasul, the Supreme Court said that at least the detainees deserved a “POW status review” hearing, as per Article 5. And at that point, the administration created (or resurrected) this “unlawful enemy combatant” designation which put the detainees into the Kafka-esque situation that they were neither POWs, and subject to protections as such, nor civilians, and subject to that set of protections.
More legal limbo.
POWs have to be lodged in decent conditions in a group setting; they are not required to submit to any interrogations or to provide any information beyond “name, rank, and serial number”; and they are all assured release and repatriation to their home country at the end of the war– except for those among them regarding whom the detaining authority has specific information that they have committed war crimes, in which case those individuals can be tried. Civilian prisoners, on the other hand, get access “with due speed” to the normal US courts and the protections afforded therein.
The CSRTs’ designation of most Gitmo detainees as “unlawful enemy combatants” denied the detainees both these avenues for potential relief. And given that many Bush administration spokesmen have talked a lot about the “generation-long” extent of the “Global War on Terror”, the detainees have faced the prospect that they might remain in their present legal limbo– and subject, I should add, to conditions of life that are often extremely appalling, including prolonged isolation, very tight controls, very intrusive and unpredictable “interrogations”, etc etc– for the rest of their lives.
This, while the vast majority of the detainees have never been credibly charged (let alone convicted) in any public forum with any specific crime. Indeed, ever since the administration first tried, back in 2002, to set up “Military Commissions” (i.e., military courts) inside Guantanamo to try prisoners there, it has only ever brought any specific charges of wrongdoing against ten of the hundreds of people detained there. Meanwhile, over the years since 2004, it has quietly released around 300 of the men whom it once held there, giving the lie to the hype voiced by Donald Rumsfeld and others at the time the Guantanamo camp was opened, that the people transported there were all “the worst of the worst.”
Shafiq Rasul and many others of those released over the past couple of years have credibly claimed they were unconnected to any violent activities or organizations when they were in Afghanistan or neighboring areas of Pakistan in late 2001, and that they had been captured there by bounty hunters eager to cash in on the $5,000 bounties offered by US agents for any “foreigners” discovered in those regions and turned over to them.
After the Supreme Court’s mid-2004 decision in Rasul, Margulies and other lawyers continued to challenge the denial of habeas rights to detainees, focusing on the case of Salim Ahmed Hamdan, a Yemeni citizen who was one of those arraigned before a Military Commission. In July 2004, Hamdan specifically filed a petition with the US courts for a writ of habeas corpus, arguing that he was being held in Guantanamo without due process. His case wound its way up through the courts and was heard by the Supreme Court during its 2005-2006 term. In a decision issued June 29, 2006, the Supremes judged by a majority of 5-3 (with the Chief Justice, John Roberts, having recused himself) that the Military Commissions as then established at Guantanamo “violate both the [U.S.] Uniform Code of Military Justice and the four Geneva Conventions.”
In a concurring opinion, Justice Steven Breyer (joined by three other justices) noted that,

    Congress has denied the President the legislative authority to create military commissions of the kind at issue here. Nothing prevents the President from returning to Congress to seek the authority he believes necessary…

It was that invitation, to seek specific legislation from Congress for the establishment of Military Commissions, that the Bush administration then proceeded to take up, with gusto. As we know, they won the legislation last month, and yesterday it went into law. The timing of all this has been notable. We are of course in the midst of the kind of election campaign in which charges that legislators are “soft on terrorism” could be expected to be particularly potent. Also, in early September, as I’d noted here, the Bushites “strengthened” the pool of potential military commission defendants at Guantanamo by adding to it the 14 “high value detainees” who had previously been held in a series of “black sites” around the world. (That group included Khaled Sheikh Muhammad and others.)
The excellent and well-linked Jurist/ Paper Chase blog had a good post on the MCA yesterday. It notes that a legal challenge to the new law has already been filed— on behalf of a group of 25 detainees held at the US-run detention center in Bagram, Afghanistan. That latter link, from the Center for Constitutional Rights in New York, which has filed this petition, tells us that:

    There are an estimated 500 men detained in U.S. custody at Bagram. Though some have been held for years, none of these men has ever received a hearing of any sort. Bagram has been the site of notorious examples of abuse – including abuses that led to the December 2002 deaths of two Afghan detainees.

I guess we all need to become much more aware that the situation of the people held in Bagram and other US-run detention camps in Afghanistan might be just as bad as the situation of those held in the better-known camp in Guantanamo. The MCA covers them as well— indeed, it covers anybody at all, anywhere around the world, whom the President or the Secretary of Defense chooses to put into the category of “unlawful enemy combatant.”
Of course, if we were talking about a person physically located in a national jurisdiction that would challenge the US administration’s claim to jurisdiction of this nature, then Washington probably would not press the issue. But the US-installed and highly US-dependent government of Afghanistan? Don’t hold your breath…
More on all this legal business to follow…

Saddam re-enters Iraqi politics

He’s back. Iraq’s currently imprisoned former president has dictated an open letter through his chief lawyer in which he assures the Iraqi people that “victory is at hand” and calls for their magnanimity towards each other despite recent internecine political differences.
He called on Iraqi Sunnis forgive even those informants who helped the US to track down and kill his two sons, in 2003.
Meanwhile, officials in the “Iraqi” (actually US-dominated) Special Tribunal that has been trying Saddam on charges of genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity say that the judges there might deliver the first set of verdicts– on charges related to the killing of 148 Shiites in Dujail in 1982– on November 5.
It is quite possible that, as prosecutors have requested, Saddam might receive a death sentence in that trial. One unresolved question is whether the court will stay “execution” of that sentence long enough to allow completion of the second trial to which he and a group of associates are being subjected– the one involving charges of genocide for his part in the Anfal campaign against the Kurds in 1989.
I would guess that Saddam may have decided to issue his “open letter” now because he fears being silenced fairly soon– either by the imposition of the death penalty, or by imposition of strict restraints on his ability to communicate with his lawyer.
By the way, I’ve just been going through some of my old posts– both here on JWN and on Transitional Justice Forum– on the Saddam trial. Here are some of the more informative ones:

It is true that, as noted in several of the posts above, there have been many procedural problems with the trial of Saddam Hussein– starting, as Nehal Bhuta noted in a comment on that December 2003 post of mine, with the illegal arrogation by the US occupying power of the “right” to control the whole trial process. But still, this man who is responsible for having launched two brutal wars of external aggression and is credibly accused of having committed genocide and crimes against humanity at home has nonetheless been afforded some form of a semi-open trial process and the dignity of enjoying minimally acceptable conditions of confinement… Whereas right now, in Guantanamo, there languish hundreds of prisoners taken from Pakistan, Afghanistan, and elsewhere around the world by the US, who have been held in quite inhumane conditions– some of them for nearly five years now– and have not had the benefit of anything like a credible trial…
You could say, “that’s life”? No, I think you should say that is how politics and the untrameled exercise of power by the strong over the weak always tend to work…

Uri Avnery’s “The Great Experiment”

Uri Avnery, the Grand Old Man of the Israeli peace movement, wrote a classic essay recently, which I accessed through the “Occupation Magazine” link. (Y’all can always check out Occupation Magazine on the right sidebar here.) It’s titled The Great Experiment. And what, you may ask is that?
Let him explain:

    IS IT possible to force a whole people to submit to foreign occupation by starving it?
    That is, certainly, an interesting question. So interesting, indeed, that the governments of Israel and the United States, in close cooperation with Europe, are now engaged in a rigorous scientific experiment in order to obtain a definitive answer.
    The laboratory for the experiment is the Gaza Strip, and the guinea pigs are the million and a quarter Palestinians living there…

So, how’s it been going? Here is his conclusion:

    How can a population that is hit by hunger, lacking medicaments and equipment for its primitive hospitals and exposed to attacks on land, from sea and from the air, hold out? Will it break? Will it go down on its knees and beg for mercy? Or will it find inhuman strength and stand the test?
    In short: What and how much is needed to get a population to surrender?
    All the scientists taking part in the experiment – Ehud Olmert and Condoleezza Rice, Amir Peretz and Angela Merkel, Dan Halutz and George Bush, not to mention Nobel Peace Price laureate Shimon Peres – are bent over the microscopes and waiting for an answer, which undoubtedly will be an important contribution to political science.
    I hope the Nobel Committee is watching.

A Palestinian villa in West Jerusalem

When I was in Israel back in March, I noted here that the Weekend Haaretz had had an interesting little article about some of the fine, originally Palestinian homes in West Jerusalem.
Recently, I heard from George Bisharat, who teaches at the Hastings College of Law in San Francisco. He told me it was his grandfather, Hanna Ibrahim Bisharat, who had built and owned one of those homes– indeed, the one that some time after Israel’s takeover of W. Jerusalem in 1948 became the home of PM Golda “there are no such people as Palestinians” Meir.
George wrote me that some years ago he had published an article about the home, and he gave me permission to republish it here. But before I introduce that text, I want to catch up with the portion of that JWN post in March where I’d noted that in and after the 1948 fighting there was almost complete ethnic cleansing of both halves of Jerusalem– what became the Israeli-controlled Western half and what became (at that point) the Jordanian-controlled Eastern half… In March, I did not have to hand the numbers of people thus “cleansed”. Now I do. According to Michael Dumper’s 1997 book The Politics of Jerisalem since 1967 (Colubia U.P.), approximately 60,000 Palestinian residents fled or were expelled from West Jerusalem and the surrounding villages that year, while around 2,000 Jewish residents fled or were expelled from East Jerusalem.(Dumper, p.65)
After Israel conquered East Jerusalem and the rest of the West Bank in 1967, it not only regained control of the properties from which Jews had left in 1948, but also seized considerable additional properties into which it started implanting large numbers of settlers– quite illegally. Those settlers now number more than 200,000 in East Jerusalem, a number that is seldom counted at all in the US media which tend to focus solely on the 230,000-plus settlers implanted into areas of the West Bank that are not in the (unilaterally expanded) boundaries of East Jerusalem.
And were descendants of the 60,000 Palestinians who left West Jerusalem in 1948 given any reciprocal right to return to the homes they had fled there? Ha-ha-ha. Reciprocity? You gotta be kidding!
Anyway, withour further ado, back to Geroge’s piece:
RITE OF RETURN TO A PALESTINIAN HOME
by George Bisharat, 2004
On May 15, the 56th anniversary of the Palestinian “Nakba” (Catastrophe), when one people gained a homeland and another lost theirs, I was thinking of a home in Jerusalem.
It was the residence occupied by Golda Meir — author of the famous quip that “the Palestinian people did not exist” — when she was Israel’s foreign minister. It was also the family home built in 1926 by my grandfather, Hanna Ibrahim Bisharat, “Papa” to all of us.
I went to visit our home for the first time in 1977. Although he was a Christian, Papa named the home “Villa Harun ar-Rashid,” in honor of the Muslim Abbasid Caliph renowned for his eloquence, passion for learning, and generosity. Painted tiles with this name were inset above the second floor balcony and over a side entrance.
EXPLOITS IN THE ORCHARD
When Papa first built the home in what became known as the Talbiyya quarter of Jerusalem, few other residences existed nearby. As I grew up, my father regaled me with tales of his boyhood exploits in the surrounding fields and orchards. Two of my uncles were born while the family lived there; one uncle succumbed to pneumonia in Villa Harun ar-Rashid. The young boys went to school up the road at the Catholic-run Terra Sancta College. My uncle Emile told me of a wager he made with his younger brother, George (for whom I am named), that he could not stand on a swing on the front porch and swing with no hands – – with predictable, but fortunately mild, consequences…

Continue reading “A Palestinian villa in West Jerusalem”

New York, Cairo kids, the universe

Every so often it’s good to pause and count my blessings.  This past
week I’ve had a number of really interesting, powerful experiences, and I
thought I’d tell you about some of them.

Last Sunday, I took the train to New York City.  Now our passenger train
system here in the US is antediluvian and, in general, quite unworthy of
any polity that tries to present itself as part of (let alone the leader
of) the “civilized world.”  But still, there is one train per day that
crawls up the eastern side of the country from New Orleans to Boston, and
another that makes the return trip.  This train goes through Charlottesville,
and so does the three-time-a-week “Cardinal” train that loops down from New
York through Virginia, West Virginia, and Cincinnati and ends up in Chicago.
 I love trains!  I rode the Thalys from Paris to Den Haag back
in July.  And last Sunday, I rode the Crescent from C’ville to New York.
 Okay, engineering-wise and amenities-wise there is no question but
that the Thalys is hugely superior.  But still, it’s great to step onto
the train in Charlottesville at 7 a.m. and step off it six and a half hours
later in Penn Station, New York…

People in Gaza, or Bethlehem, or Nablus could only dream of being able to
enjoy such freedom of movement.

I stayed with my daughter Leila and her spouse Greg Curley in their place
in Brooklyn.  Monday and Wednesday I got to run  the 3.43 mile
circuit round Prospect Park
, which is a most amazing, publicly owned resource for the people of Brooklyn.
 When I ran, the weather was crisp and sunny; and actually, given that
I also run from their house to the park, it must come in at around 4 miles
for me.  Somehow, when I’m there that doesn’t feel burdensome, though
at home I generally only run 3 miles each time.

Tuesday, I went to a day-long conference the American Bar Association’s Section
of International Law had organized at New York University.  It was titled
something like “Legacies of Nuremberg for Africa”, and someone from SIL from
the west coast had persuaded me to speak there about the lessons from my
book
Amnesty After Atrocity?

 I was on a morning panel with Ruti Teitel, an ultra-brainy
law professor of Argentinian origin who a while ago published an iconic
book titled Transitional Justice.  It was an interesting experience,
since I was one of very few non-lawyers there.  Perhaps the only one?
 Indeed, the main argument of my book is that judicial remedies are
really not terribly useful for societies reeling from recent and perhaps
still ongoing atrocities.  So I made the best case I could, based on
my research, and sticking more or less within the prescribed time-limit of
15 minutes.  Afterwards, there were some tinteresting questions, and
a few very interesting people came up and chatted.  So I think it went
pretty well.

Continue reading “New York, Cairo kids, the universe”

Anti-GOP disgust surging high enough?

In a column in yesterday’s NYT, Paul Krugman argued– in my view, convincingly– that the relationship between opinion poll results and the results of the upcoming congressional elections is not really a linear one. And while many commentators have said that the Democrats might have “just enough” votes to get a narrow win in one of the houses of Congress, Krugman thinks it more likely that either the Dems will “just fail” to do that– or, their support might be sufficient to surge over all the levees the GOP has secured itself with until now, bringing about a much stronger democratic showing than anyone else has yet forecast.
He gave some good reasons, based on electoral districting issues, for this prediction. I should add that we also need much stronger reassurance than we now have that the electronic voting machines most jurisdictions will be using will record the actual votes cast, and are not subject to tampering. One of the main producers of these machines, Diebold, is a big supporter of the GOP.
… Anyway, the poll numbers continue to portend good news for the Democrats. Even Fox News is reporting the Dems’ numbers have gone up– from 41% to 50%– over the past month. The GOP numbers reportedly rose from 38% to 41% in that same period. As you might surmise, the number of “undecideds” has dropped steeply.
And today, reading the WaPo was an amazing experience. (I only got home yesterday, after five days in NYC. While I was there I didn’t read the WaPo closely– just a few key articles online.) Nearly the whole front half of today’s paper was a catalogue of now-being-exposed Republican misdeeds.
Like this piece, which gave us a timely update about the fate of Ohio GOP congressman Robert Ney who “pleaded guilty yesterday to corruption charges arising from the influence-peddling investigation of lobbyist Jack Abramoff,” as part of a plea bargain with federal prosecutors. The story said that Ney, appearing before a federal judge in DC,

    admitted performing official acts for lobbyists in exchange for campaign contributions, expensive meals, luxury travel and skybox sports tickets. Ney also admitted taking thousands of dollars in gambling chips from an international businessman who sought his help with the State Department.

Sentencing will be January 19. The government is recommending he get 27 months in prison.
But here’s another wrinkle. Ney– who for the past month has been hiding from reporters and the public with an “I’m in rehab for alcohol addiction” claim– has said he he won’t resign from the House before November 7. The party system in the US is so weak that there’s no way, it seems, for the GOP leadership to “force” him to resign. Party leaders, claiming embarrassment, told the WaPo reporters that if Ney does not resign, then in the “rump” session of Congress held after the election they will move to get a congressional vote to expel him from the House.
… And then, there is more news about the Mark Foley congressional-“page” harrassment scandal. Foley, a discredited GOP Congressman from Florida, has also pulled the “I’m a recovering alcohol who needs privacy for my rehab” trick since his harrassment of pages was revealed a couple of weeks ago.
… And here is another one: Pennsylvania Republican Curt Weldon is the subject of an FBI investigation into what are described as “lucrative lobbying and consulting contracts for his daughter”. That report is from McClatchy newspapers, whose people write:

    At issue are Weldon’s efforts between 2002 and 2004 to aid two Russian companies and two Serbian brothers with ties to former Yugoslavian president Slobodan Milosevic, a federal law enforcement official said.
    The Russian companies and a Serbian foundation run by the brothers’ family each hired a firm co-owned by Weldon’s daughter, Karen, for fees totaling nearly $1 million a year, public records show…
    Two years ago, the Los Angeles Times examined Curt Weldon’s parallel efforts in Congress on behalf of the Russian and Serbian clients of his daughter, prompting the House ethics committee to briefly explore the issue.

It’s unclear what the (GOP-controlled) “ethics committee” decided to do about that back then.
Weldon has not yet checked into rehab… Might happen soon?
The WaPo piece on Weldon has a small photo of the guy, standing there with fleshy white jowls drooping over the top of a too-tight collar. Many other GOP congressional leaders– among them House Speaker Dennis Hastert, who has been put strongly on the defensive over accusations that he helped cover up Mark Foley’s predatory sexual proclivities for a number of years– also seem to favor this look, which smacks of privilege, excess, and a strong sense of entitlement.
These sad old guys may well, of course, been merely taking their lead from the White House, where Bush has led an administration whose addiction to privatization and the distribution of lucrative favors to friends has marked its practice in both foreign and domestic affairs. (Think Iraq. Think FEMA.)
Will the Democrats be any better? Only if we, the citizenry, keep on their case to hold them accountable over the issues we care about. But oh, it is great to think that there now seems to be a chance that on November 7 the storm of disgust with the Republicans’ wrongdoings will be strong enough to surge right over the levees of the GOP leaders’ privilege, corruption, and militarism.

Dannatt drops a bombshell

British Army Chief of Staff Gen. Sir Richard Dannatt has spoken out forcefully in favor of a swift withdrawal of British troops from Iraq:

    Sir Richard’s lead in shining a light on the Armed Forces extends to the mission in Iraq. He says with great clarity and honesty that “our presence exacerbates the security problems”. “I think history will show that the planning for what happened after the initial successful war-fighting phase was poor, probably based more on optimism than sound planning.
    “History will show that a vacuum was created and into the vacuum malign elements moved. The hope that we might have been able to get out of Iraq in 12, 18, 24 months after the initial start in 2003 has proved fallacious. Now hostile elements have got a hold it has made our life much more difficult in Baghdad and in Basra.
    “The original intention was that we put in place a liberal democracy that was an exemplar for the region, was pro-West and might have a beneficial effect on the balance within the Middle East.
    “That was the hope. Whether that was a sensible or naïve hope, history will judge. I don’t think we are going to do that. I think we should aim for a lower ambition.”
    Sir Richard adds, strongly, that we should “get ourselves out sometime soon because our presence exacerbates the security problems”. “We are in a Muslim country and Muslims’ views of foreigners in their country are quite clear. “As a foreigner, you can be welcomed by being invited into a country, but we weren’t invited, certainly by those in Iraq at the time. Let’s face it, the military campaign we fought in 2003 effectively kicked the door in.
    “That is a fact. I don’t say that the difficulties we are experiencing around the world are caused by our presence in Iraq, but undoubtedly our presence in Iraq exacerbates them.”
    He contrasts this with the situation in Afghanistan, where we remain at the invitation of President Hamid Karzai’s government.
    “There is a clear distinction between our status and position in Iraq and in Afghanistan, which is why I have much more optimism that we can get it right in Afghanistan.”
    There is a logistical as well as a moral reason for concentrating on the mission in Afghanistan. Sir Richard talked last month of the Army “running hot”. Our troops are stretched to capacity. We have only one spare battalion. Almost everyone is going to end up serving in Iraq or Afghanistan.

The whole interview there is worth reading. Ditto these later clarifications to the BBC.

Iraqi ‘Constitutional’ developments: who cares?

Steve Negus wrote in the FT yesterday about the distinctly rumpish-looking session the Iraqi “parliament” held yesterday to discuss changes in the Constitution that will specify and facilitate the devolution of many powers to “regions”. (Hat-tip to Juan for that.)
Negus wrote that there were “approximately 140” MPs present. Az-zaman apparently wrote that there were 138. 138 is the minimum needed to form a majority (and therefore also a quorum? info on quorum requirements, please?) in the 275-member body. Negus wrote that all the legislators present at yesterday’s session voted for a law that would,

    allow Iraq’s 18 governorates to hold referendums on whether to amalgamate into federal regions similar to the Kurdistan self-rule zone in the north, which has its own regional government and security forces.

He notes that,

    Shia and Sunni leaders agreed last month to delay the law’s implementation for at least 18 months, postponing the creation of any new autonomous regions until 2008.

However, it’s not clear to me what will be gained from this delay, except yet more bloodshed, given the extreme bad faith with which the proponents of radical devolution (also sometimes misnamed “federalism”) in Iraq have been acting. Including in the way they rushed to convene this session.
Beyond that, given the horrendous situation through which most Iraqi communities are now living, I wonder what the meaning and true impact of this “legislative act” really is. Will it make any difference to the lives of Iraqis? My understanding, from poll data and other sources, is that the vast majority of non-Kurdish Iraqis, including probably a majority within the Shiite community, want to keep Iraq as a unitary state (but that if the Kurds want to grab a lot of powers to their region, at least the non-Kurdish parts of the state should stick together.)
In the period of mayhem and civil conflict that almost certainly lies ahead (given the trend line under US occupation so far), what difference will this “legislation” make? And indeed, what is the relevance of this whole, Green Zone-bound Iraqi “parliament” at all, at this stage?
What relevance it has at this stage derives, I believe, almost solely from international factors. Most evidently, from the support it gets from the US occupying force, which has been able to shoe-horn the present, parliament-derived Iraqi “government” into a degree of international “legitimacy”. (This is similar to the way the US has been working, regarding Somalia, to shore up the international “legitimacy” and recognition of the warlord-dominated, Baidoa-based government, rather than that of the Mogadishu-based Islamic Courts regime, which seems to have considerably more popular support than Baidoa.) In times of civil turmoil, “recognition” by external governments is an important political asset that can be parlayed into further political/diplomatic support, military support, the ability to conclude lucrative contracts (as the Kurds have been doing with the oil supplies in their region), etc etc.
So much for the longheld American idea that the legitimacy of a government derives from the consent of the governed, eh?
So in the present circumstance, regarding the present Iraqi parliament and government, it seems clear that 138 MPs are on board this dangerous “legislative” campaign to split the country. But if 138 (or 140) is the greatest number the splittists can muster, then I think that is fairly pathetic. At the very least, it means that any procedures they enact in the field of devolution will have poor popular support. Either these procedures will die on the vine, or they will be highly contested and yet another cause for internal discord. Either way, they do not point the way, in Iraq’s ethnic-Arab areas, to any orderly progression toward a robust and popular supported devolution of powers. All that this “legislation” really does is give more legislative support and “legitimacy” to the Kurds’ own, already-existing march toward very robust autonomy.
I imagine some quite considerable amounts of money passed hands to ensure the convening of this session.

CSM column calls for US pullout from Iraq, accountability

Here’s my column in the CSM of Thursday, October 12.
The title is Bush created a mess in Iraq. Here’s how to clean it up. The subtitle is: It’s time to pull our troops out of Iraq – and to hold our leaders accountable.
So now you can go read the whole thing and tell me (courteously) what you think.