Politics in the US of A operates at a number of different levels. At the frothiest, most visible “top” of it are the instant spinmeisters, people who are handsomely paid by various corporate and/or ideological interests not to inform people about the world (for honestly, they often do not know much about it) but rather, to tell us what to think. One of the silliest– but also most dangerous– of these people is Charles Krauthammer, a hawkishly pro-Israeli ideologue who often seems to be providing the “talking points” for the administration itself.
If you thought Krauthammer was writing about anything connected with “the truth”, you’d have to conclude that the ISG report– which came out precisely nine days ago– was long ago discredited. Here’s what he wrote in today’s WaPo:
[T]he long-anticipated report turned out to be, as is widely agreed, a farce. From its wildly hyped, multiple magazine-cover rollout… to its mishmash of 79 (no less) recommendations, the report has fallen so flat that the field is now clear for the president to recommend to a war-weary country something new and bold.
The study group has not just been attacked by left and right, Democrat and Republican. It has invited ridicule…
He sure isn’t telling us who “widely agreed” that the report was a farce, or who heaped “ridicule” on it. Apart from himself, that is, since the column mentions the name of no-one whose views he is citing, apart from his own. It is qute possible, however, that in the Cheney-esque and neocon circles in which he moves, many people have heaped ridicule on the report, and that is what he’s been hearing.
Certainly, Condi Rice, Tony Snow, the Prez himself, and everyone else from his inner circle who has spoken about the ISG report has tried to wave it away as “irrelevant”, or worse. That, while the Prez has been running around trying to look as though he knows what he’s doing as he tries to come up with an alternative “new approach in Iraq”, all of his very own.
Luckily, though, there’s another United States, made up of the 99.8% of the citizens who live outside Washington’s infamous Capital Beltway, far away from the Krauthammers and their ilk… And these people have their own views of things.
As we can see from the Dec. 8-11 L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll that’s at the top of the Polling Report website right now. The pollsters there asked respondents whether they thought the Prez should adopt three of the ISG’s key recommendations, and the answers for these were:
“talking directly with Iran and Syria about the future of Iraq”: Should– 64%; Should not– 28%.
“that the US should consider cutting its military and economic support for Iraq unless the Iraqi government shows significant progress on political reforms and national reconciliation”: Should– 70%; Should not– 22%.
“reducing American troops by early 2008 and replacing them with a smaller number of troops embedded in the Iraqi military, as well as helping to train Iraqi forces”: Should– 56%; Should not– 30%.
Well, longtime JWN readers should know my views that the pullback of US troops forces from Iraq should be total, speedy, and generous. So I might well have answered “Should not” for both those latter questions… But still, I think Charles Krauthammer and those to whom he talks inside the Beltway should recognize that out here in “the country as a whole” the report has certainly not “invited ridicule.” By and large, people have taken it very seriously… And I think these conversations are continuing. I hope all our members of congress get an earful of our views while they’re home for the holidays right now!
Certainly, the ISG’s analysis and recommendations have been taken a lot more seriously than the President’s robotic insistence on “staying the course”, “continuing until victory”, etc. You can see how little trust people now have in him– especially on Iraq— from all the recent polls.
… Meanwhile, the administration itself seems to be falling into a situation of ever greater disarray. Many reports from good, well-informed journalists say that Bush is edging toward deciding on the deployment of an additional “surge” of forces to Iraq. For example,Warren Strobel and Jonathan Landay wrote yesterday that,
senior officials said the emerging strategy includes… a possible short-term surge of as many as 40,000 more American troops to try to secure Baghdad, along with a permanent increase in the size of the U.S. Army and the Marine Corps, which are badly strained by deployments in Iraq and Afghanistan.
However, immediately after that, they note that: “Military commanders look warily at a surge, saying that even 20,000 more soldiers and Marines may not be available and wouldn’t necessarily help reduce Iraq’s violence.”
You can say that again! Yes, these commanders are covering their rear ends. But they’re also speaking the truth. If Bush thinks that, with Iraq where it is today, an additional 40,000 US troops could “solve” the problem, then truly he must have been smoking something strange!
So why would Bush even think of doing this? Or more to the point, why would Unca Dick let him “think” of doing it?
At one level, it might be tempting for us to surmise that Bush and Cheney both really understand that the time for the US troop deployment in Iraq is running out– very fast!– and that this last-minute “surge” might be just a way for them to be able to cover their own rear ends when they order the start of the now- inevitable substantial drawdown (or complete pullout), come March or April of next year… At which point, they would of course lay all the blame for the debacle on the Iraqis. “We gave them our very best shot!” “But those people know nothing but ancient tribal hatreds!” Etc., etc.
But the cynicism and bloodthirstiness of a scenario like this is almost beyond belief. Just remember that:
(1) Sending more US troops in now will not calm things down inside Iraq; it will exacerbate and prolong the carnage and the severe social breakdown there.
(2) During this delay, more American troops will also be killed.
(3) Sending more US troops in will complicate the task of getting them all out later.
And all this, because of W’s bullheaded refusal to face the realities and start the pullout now.