Intriguing work from new Palestinian ‘Shabaka’

A sterling line-up of Palestinian policy analysts has now launched Al-Shabaka (‘The Palestinian policy network’), which looks like an on-line think-tank that will be timely policy papers by these people and others.
The first three papers on the site are:
* How sovereign a state?, by Camille Mansour, who looks at the gaps that, if negotiations start under currently foreseeable circumstances, would still exist between “a ‘moderate’ Israeli position [and] a Palestinian stance guided by the objective of achieving a sovereign Palestinian state, and briefly explores whether these gaps might be bridgeable.
Mansour, a longtime professor of international relations at the Sorbonne and Birzeit University, writes, “The analysis reveals how unlikely it is that a truly sovereign Palestinian state can come about as a result of negotiations in the present circumstances.”
* The Dangers of Disaggregating Sovereignty by Diana Buttu, who was legal advisor to the Palestinian negotiating team from 2000 to 2005, including during the 2001 round of negotiations at Taba and Israel’s unilateral evacuation from the Gaza Strip in 2005.
Buttu is openly critical of the way her former bosses in the PLO leadership conducted the negotiations in that period.
She writes:

    Israel’s approach to Palestinian sovereignty is best demonstrated in the period following its unilateral evacuation from the Gaza Strip. As was its approach during bilateral negotiations, Israel retained essential elements of sovereignty after its pullout, while also arguing that a new international standard be developed to cover an entity that is no longer considered to be occupied yet lacks the elements of full sovereignty (somewhat akin to the Bantustans of South Africa that only the apartheid government of South Africa recognized as being states).
    … The experience following Israel’s unilateral evacuation from the Gaza Strip sheds light on its future plans for the West Bank. It is hoped that Palestinian negotiators will learn from their experience of negotiations with Israel and realize that the sum of the disaggregated parts can never be greater than the whole.

* Finally, development economist Samer Abdelnour has a paper titled A New Model for Palestinian Development. The model he advocates has the name ‘Sustainable Local Enterprise Networks.’ A more old-fashioned name for it might be ‘Swaraj’, the name Gandhi gave to the economic model he established when the British were still in India, as a way to build continuing resilience among India’s people, their skill-levels, and the basis of the future independent Indian state.
Abdelnour also asks some good questions about whether the western-aid-dominated and quintessentially top-down model being pursued by Salam Fayyad can actually do what the Palestinians need.
So: a great start from Al-Shabaka. Keep it up, friends!

What’s with ‘direct negotiations’?

It is such a shibboleth in U.S. foreign-policy discourse these days– to say that such-and-such an issue on the final-status agenda between Israelis and Palestinians “must be solved through direct negotiations between the parties”. But why? Why on earth should the Palestinian representatives be forced into a position of being shut in a room one-on-one with representatives of their Israeli occupiers/dispossessors, with that highly unequal “negotiation” being the only one that’s allowed?
I mean, after Saddam Hussein had occupied and politicided Kuwait in 1990, did anyone in the U.S. and elsewhere say to the Kuwaiti Emir that if he wanted his people’s rights restored he should sit one-on-one in room with Saddam, with that negotiation being the only one that was allowed??
Of course not.
So why should Washington be continuously trying to force the Palestinian negotiators to resolve their issues with Israel through direct negotiations with the very state and government that has occupied and continues on a daily basis to spatiocide them?
Look, I think I understand where this demand– which was originally an Israeli demand– that the various Arab parties should sit down and negotiate peace with them directly, face-to-face, came from. It came from the sense that many in earlier generations of Israelis had, that they were upset at the refusal of their Arab neighbors to give their state due recognition as a neighboring state in the region; and they said that it would give them a lot of useful reassurance if they could gain the “recognition” of having their Arab neighbors deal directly and respectfully with them.
I have two comments on that:

    1. The PLO already gave the State of Israel full recognition, in the letters that were exchanged at the time of Oslo in 1993. And after that, PLO leaders sat down with the Israelis to negotiate both a final peace and numerous ‘interim’ agreements, on too many occasions to count. But none of those ‘direct negotiations’ led to anything like a workable final peace. Indeed, from the Palestinian point of view, the situation on the ground continued to get progressively worse after Oslo, as with every year that passed the Israeli authorities continued to gobble up more and more Palestinian land for their settler colonies.
    2. The Israeli leaders, and increasing portions of the Israeli public, don’t actually seem to give a toss these days about either the “acceptance” of their Palestinian or other Arab neighbors, or even the alleged “value” of direct negotiations with them. Right now, this seems to have become much more an American shibboleth and demand, than it is an Israeli one.

So on the one hand it’s moderately good news when Hillary Clinton or someone says that Israel should absolutely not be building new settler housing in East Jerusalem. But it is really pretty appalling that in the next breath she will say something like, “because the final status of East Jerusalem should still be on the agenda of the direct negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians.”
Like downtown Kuwait City? They expected the Kuwaiti Emir to sit down and negotiate that with Saddam, with no other factors intervening?
Okay, I am a realist, and I understand it is highly unlikely that anyone in the international community as it’s currently configured is going to do for Palestine what the international community did for Kuwait in August 1990. The U.S. and U.N are not, this time around, about to assemble a massive international military force and end the Israeli occupation through brute force.
But there is still such a thing as international law, and international legitimacy; and they, surely, should be the guide to the final outcome in Jerusalem and the rest of the OPTs and OSTs, just as much as they were in Kuwait, 20 years ago.
International legitimacy: “The inadmissibility of the acquisition of territory by force”, as stressed in resolution 242 and reiterated in 338. International law: The outright ban on any occupying power moving parts of its own civilian population into occupied territory. Etc., etc.
The whole concept of ‘direct negotiations’ between Israelis and Palestinians has been given an extraordinarily long run for its money. It started in the backdoor negotiations that led to Oslo, and continued in one way or another until, really, Sharon turned his back on the whole idea of negotiating with the PLO/PA, back in 2003-05. I guess Olmert and Condi Rice tried to kick some life back into the concept at Annapolis. But that whole sorry experience just proved how dead the horse was by then.
It strikes me that the continued insistence on just trying to resolve this conflict through direct negotiations, without any application of international law or international legitimacy, or any real support from outside for those important pillars of the international system, is a recipe for either the Israeli sumo kings ramming a highly inequitable (and therefore unsustainable) “peace agreement” down the throats of the Palestinian negotiators– or, for continued deadlock and conflict, under the cover of which Israel’s settlement construction program will continue apace.
For an “unsustainable” agreement achieved in just this way, think back to Israel’s short-lived peace with Lebanon, 1983.
… It strikes me, too, that this fondness that ways too many members of the US political elite have for “direct negotiations” stems to some degree from a fuzzy but dangerous misreading of what happened in South Africa. There is always this stress on “where’s the Palestinian Mandela?”, isn’t there? And this idea that through the sheer force of his personality, vision, and whatever else, Mandela was quite “miraculously” able to soften the Afrikaners’ hearts and persuade them to see the error of their ways, “allow” full political rights to the disfranchized 85% of the citizens who were not “White”, and join in singing Kumbaya, etc.
Baloney.
The Afrikaners found themselves “persuaded” to negotiate as a result of many factors. Among them: the fact that they’d suffered a damaging military setback in Angola, as a result of the over-extension of their forces there; the fact that the ANC’s mass-civilian arm, the UDF, had sustained a huge, rolling intifada throughout just about the whole of the country over a number of years, making massive tracts of it quite ungovernable; and the ANC still sustained a modest military capability (which had been founded, remember, by that very same Nelson Mandela, a man with a nuanced view of the relationship between mass movements and military threats)… PLUS, back in the 1970s the UN had declared apartheid to be a “crime against humanity”, and by the end of the 1980s, South Africa’s “Whites” were certainly feeling the effect of having been systematically shunned for several years by many of the international constituencies they cared most about.
So it wasn’t the sheer “magic” of Nelson Mandela sitting in the conference room near Pollsmoor prison with Pik Botha and F.W. de Klerk that led to the unraveling of the settler-colonial project in South Africa. It was Nelson Mandela, backed up by a powerful and disciplined ANC movement– and also, by that time, by just about the whole moral and economic power of the international community.
If F.W. De Klerk and his minions had had full and continuing access to U.S. arsenals and U.S. and E.U. free trade agreements in 1989-90, do you think De Klerk would have been suddenly “transformed” by having one-on-one meetings with Mandela??
So why do we imagine that Benjamin Netanyahu or any other Israeli leaders would be any different?
Get real, America. Stop engaging in all these fuzzy misreadings of what went on in South Africa. And let’s get back to upholding the real and very necessary principles of international law and international legitimacy– and using all the instruments of our national power to back them up.

Yezid Sayigh on Hamas, Fayyad

The distinguished Palestinian historian and analyst Yezid Sayigh gave a tremendous talk Friday at the Palestine Center in Washington DC, where he reported on a recent, four-day visit to Gaza and assessed the situation and standing of the two rival Palestinian administrations in Gaza and Ramallah.
While he started off by noting that both the administrations have succeeded in stabilizing themselves since the terrible rift that occurred between them in June 2007, a lot of the content of what he said seemed clearly to indicate that he thinks the Hamas-led administration in Gaza has been significantly better at achieving more public goods at less cost than the Fayyad administration in Ramallah.
Sayigh is Professor of Middle East Studies in the Department of War Studies at King’s College London and is currently a visiting senior fellow at the crown center for Middle East Studies at Brandeis University in Massachusetts. He is also the author of the magisterial 1997 book Armed Struggle and the Search for a State: The Palestinian National Movement, 1949-1993, from Oxford University Press.
Kudos to Brandeis for having brought someone of Sayigh’s stature and breadth as a scholar to stay there for this semester. And special kudos, of course, to the Palestine Center for hosting this talk. You can see the whole video of it, I think, here.
I can’t do complete justice to the talk here, so I urge you to go and listen to it yourselves. But I wanted to share my impressions of some of his key insights and get them into the written-in-English public arena.
The original event was supposed to feature two speakers: Sayigh talking about Ramallah and Khaled Hroub, from Cambridge, UK, talking about Hamas. However, Hroub could not get his flight to DC– because of the BA strike, I think, rather than any ‘Flying While Arab’ security issues. So Sayigh stepped in and gave us his analysis of both administrations; and we were lucky to hear it.
He referred to Ismail Haniyyeh’s government in Gaza as “the elected government” and the Fayyad government in Ramallah as “the emergency government.” Later he made a point of noting that– while he has great personal affection for Salam Fayyad– the Fayyad government is wholly unconstitutional, while he described the Haniyyeh government as “partly constitutional.”
He underlined, regarding the Fayyad government, both the unconstitutionality of the way it was established and has been maintained since June 2007, and the rights-abusng nature of many of the practices of the security forces that are supposedly under Fayyad’s command.

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Waskow’s sad arguments against BDS

I was just watching the discussion that Amy Goodman (video here) recently moderated between Omar Barghouti of the Global BDS Movement and Rabbi Arthur Waskow, over the utility and ethics of the BDS campaign.
Waskow criticized the BDS movement without reservation. I thought his arguments were kind of sad: often inaccurate, and off-the-mark, and extremely US-centric. A big part of his argument had to do with the ways in which the situations of White-dominated Apartheid South Africa and today’s Israel are similar, or different. Waskow tried to argue that whereas the Apartheid government got its foreign support mainly from corporations, Israel gets its support mainly from the US government… Ergo, while boycotting or taking other actions against Chase Manhattan Bank were appropriate and useful in the 1970s/80s, over South Africa, today what’s needed is to build a broad coalition of peace-loving Americans to change the policy of the US government.
He also argued that BDS “seeks to demonize an entire people, with a culture and life of their own, etc.” in Israel… (As if the Afrikaners who dominated Apartheid SA had no culture or life of their own?? I’m still not sure what the difference was there.)
I thought Barghouti made the counter-arguments excellently, and was particularly effective when, a number of times, he pointed out that Waskow’s way of arguing seemed to completely ignore the Palestinians’ own agency and the demand for BDS that is so widely supported among Palestinian civil society of all stripes. Waskow really did come across very isolated and arrogant. It was sad, really to see this person who historically did play a good role in U.S. social movements now engaging in special pleading on behalf of the Jewish state.
Dressing up like Tolstoy does not, it turns out, mean you end up acting with Tolstoyan detachment and universalist ethics.
Anyway, it’s great that Amy Goodman hosted this important discussion. It’s a topic we need to discuss a lot more in the US– and also, to put into action.

Advancing to… 1949?

So now, Washington’s “leadership” of the Palestinian-Israeli diplomacy looks poised to rush forward to… 1949, and the proximity talks that Ralph Bunche convened in Rhodes that year.
Haaretz’s reporters tell us there,

    the American administration is hoping the sides will declare the beginning of indirect talks [on Sunday] morning, ahead of the arrival of U.S. Vice President Joe Biden on Monday.

These “proximity talks” have been touted by U.S. officials as some kind of big deal, even though they are a major step back from what Obama was promising when he came into office 14 months ago.
The P.A. leadership has until now merely been asking that, if the Netanyahu government wants to talk, it should first comply with its own commitments under the 2002 Road Map. But they’ve gotten no support from Washington for that position, and Washington has been putting big pressure on Abu Mazen, including through Egypt, Jordan, etc., with the aim of getting him back into talks– any talks, never mind about what!
The problem is not whether the two “sides” talk to each other; or how close they are when they take; or what shape table or configuration of hotel they might employ. The problem is getting Israel to end its illegal occupation of Palestinian land.
When Saddam Hussein occupied Kuwait in 1990, was Pres. G.H. W. Bush concerned about getting Iraqi and Kuwaiti leaders into a room together– or in rooms in the same hotel together– to “negotiate” a resolution? Of course he wasn’t… Although, just possibly, there might have been a negotiated outcome to have been had. But he never gave anyone a serious chance to explore that avenue. Five and a half months after Saddam’s forces moved into Kuwait, the international alliance that Bush brought together acted swiftly to evict them.
In the OPTs, the occupation has now gone on for nearly 43 years.
Israel has no more claim to the West Bank, Gaza, and Golan than Iraq had to Kuwait. Claims of “holy places” and such don’t confer sovereign rights. Everywhere in the world, people have places they consider somehow sacred in other countries… and they go to visit them on pilgrimages. That’s how it is.
International law concerns itself with quite different matters; and in the matter of the Israeli-occupied lands the Security Council has clearly stated the inacceptability of Israel’s acquisition of those territories by force.
… In Palestine meanwhile, Abu Mazen’s apparent decision to take part in the upcoming “proximity talks” farce has come in for a lot of criticism, including from one rather unexpected source: Muhammad Dahlan.
Maan News reported today that,

    If the American policy is to “waste time pretending we are in negotiations” as Israel continues to build settlements and claim Palestinian heritage sites, Dahlan said, there is no point to go ahead with the talks.
    “We have been sick of the occupation for years, and sick of negotiations since 2000,” he said, referring to the start of the Second Intifada following civil unrest around a failure of the Oslo Accords.

Oh dear. It looks as if the project to rebuild Fateh’s organizational integrity that was pursued with such fanfare last summer didn’t do quite as well as hoped.

Prolonged conflict and pro-natalism

Last month, uber-Zionist commentator Martin Kramer openly argued (Youtube here) the “political aim” of Israel’s sanctions on Gaza is

    to break Gaza’s runaway population growth… That may begin to crack the culture of martyrdom, which demands a constant supply of superfluous young men.

He also claimed there that there is “some evidence” that this anti-natalist campaign was succeeding.
(What on earth evidence is he talking about? When I was in Gaza last November, the UN folks there told me that in the first ten months of 2009, 43,000 babies had been born to Gaza’s population of 1.5 million. Kramer is just plain wrong, as well as deeply immoral… What a pathetic “analyst” he is, eh?)
There has been considerable discussion (e.g. from Abunimah, Cole, Silverstein) as to whether what Kramer said constituted genocidal incitement, support for the racist “eugenics” concept, or just plain old racism. Regardless of which it was, it was disgusting and racist.
Kramer was also accusing “the west” of “providing pro-natal subsidies for Palestinians with refugee status”. What??
Now, it’s true that UNRWA– like the UNHCR, which provides relief services to refugees everywhere else around the world– does not cut off the food support it gives to women, if they become pregnant. Both agencies also provide special nutritional support, as needed, to nursing mothers; and once children are weaned both agencies put them onto the rolls to receive the appropriate amount of nutritional support– and public-health and educational services, as required, as well.
Why would that shock anyone?
Do we want the UN’s refugee agencies not to do that?
Or is it only UNRWA that Kramer wants to stop providing such services? Someone should ask him if it is Palestinian refugees against whom, uniquely, he wants to discriminate… or whether refugees from Congo, Cambodia, Nepal, Somalia, Afghanistan, and everywhere else from which there are refugee flows should also be subjected to his “eugenicist” plan.
This issue does raise, of course, a couple of related subjects that Martin Kramer might prefer not to talk about. One is that in every situation of prolonged inter-group conflict, the communities that are party to that conflict tend to adopt extremely pro-natal policies. This has certainly been the case in Rwanda, over many decades. There, as in Israel/Palestine, leaders of both the competing communities judge that the conflict will eventually be resolved either through fighting or through the ballot-box. Either way, numbers are an asset…
A second thing Kramer might prefer not to talk about is the fact that Jewish Israelis– and in particular the religio-nationalists who form the heart of the settler movement in the West Bank– are certainly huge beneficiaries of a whole series of extremely pro-natalist governmental policies and subsidies (which are underwritten by the US government’s economic aid to Israel, at a rate considerably higher than the rate the US government dribbles out aid to UNRWA.)
Shall we talk about large families among ultra-orthodox Jews, in Israel and around the world?

Here’s a piece
in the February 18 New York Times about the recent death of Mrs. Yitta Schwartz of Kiryas Joel, NY, who when she died last month at age 93,

    left behind 15 children, more than 200 grandchildren and so many great- and great-great-grandchildren that, by her family’s count, she could claim perhaps 2,000 living descendants.

Did the NYT reporter, Joseph Berger, take Mrs. Schwartz to task for the effect her fecundity might have on Mother Earth? No, he described it instead as “a thumb in the eye of the Nazis.”
To be fair to Mrs. Schwartz and the particular Hasidic group she was a member of, the Satmar, I should note that (1) She was born in Hungary and during WW-II was sent, along with her husband and her then-six children to Bergen-Belsen concentration camp, where they lost one child, and (2) the Satmars are mostly anti-Zionists, which is why Mrs. Schwartz and most of her 2,000 descendants now live in New York state, rather than the occupied West Bank.
However, there are now numerous other communities of Hasidic Jews who follow social/marital injunctions from their rebbes that are every bit as pro-natalist as the Satmars’, but that are Zionist, or that anyway take advantage of the many wonderful subsidies and incentives that the Israeli government provides in order to have them go and settle in the West Bank.
I also note the significance of that throwaway line from the NYT reporter, to the effect that Mrs. Schwartz’s fecundity was “a thumb in the eye of the Nazis.” On this reasoning, why would having a large family, for Palestinians, not equally be seen– especially in the context of the still-continuing conflict– as “a thumb in the eye of the Zionist expropriators”?
… Either way, I certainly think that for Mother Earth’s sake, all excessive procreation, whoever engages in it, needs to be brought sensitively, sustainably, and rapidly to an end. I submit, though, that this is highly unlikely to be achieved in situations of prolonged inter-group conflict, so long as the conflicts themselves are not resolved (for the reasons given above.)
So to me, this adds yet another reason– let’s call it an environmental reason– why this conflict between Israelis and Palestinians needs to be speedily ended.
But so long as it isn’t ended please let’s not beat up disproportionately on the Palestinians for pursuing something like the same kind of pro-natalist instincts that the Israeli government is certainly very aggressively promoting, on the Jewish-Israeli side.

Malta: Notes from the conference, part 2

Washington long ago—under Henry Kissinger– elbowed the United Nations completely out of the lead role that, by all rights, it should play in spearheading the search for lasting peace between Israel and all of its neighbors, including the Palestinians. And under George W. Bush, Washington was even able to formalize the subordination of the U.N. to Washington’s diktats in the matter, through its inclusion as a junior member in that new and at some levels quite anomalous outfit, the “Quartet”.
But the U.N. is not only a set of principles and policies; it is also, certainly, a bureaucracy. And there are two little chunks of it whose budgets are still justified primarily in terms of the contribution they can make to the pursuit of Palestinian rights.
This means holding conferences. Lots of them. The Division on Palestinian Rights is sponsoring the one I have just been participating in, here in Malta. Next month, they’re having one in Vienna; and in May they’ll be in Istanbul. The pace seems dizzying.
So you can certainy ask, “What are all these conferences good for?” And when I am at one—this one has been my third—there are always some periods of time when I ask that question. These usually come when some elderly Palestinian or other Arab participant bloviates, usually from the floor, for ways longer than is necessary or helpful.
But still, jaw-jaw is always better than war-war, so one grits one’s teeth and bears it.
These gatherings do also have some significant uses, however. I would describe them roughly as follows:

Continue reading “Malta: Notes from the conference, part 2”