I can’t add much to what everyone is learning, thinking, and feeling these days about Fallujah.
I just note that the current massive incursion of foreign (that is, US) fighters into the city is a tragedy and a travesty against all the norms of reason and international law.
The Guardian, citing NPR, is reporting some large-scale desertions among the Iraqi forces who were supposed to be “spearheading”, or at least accompanying, the US assailants:
- One Iraqi battalion shrunk from over 500 men to 170 over the past two weeks – with 255 members quitting over the weekend, the [NPR] correspondent said.
That was a correspondent “embedded” with the US military who got and reported that story. Good for her (or him).
Juan Cole reports that the Iraqi Islamic Party, a Sunni party that has been in the interim government so far, is now threatening to quit it. Also, Moqtada Sadr’s people and the (Sunni) Association of Muslim Scholars have both called on the members of the “Iraqi” forces to desert rather than join the operation against Fallujah.
If the “Iraqi” forces have indeed now lost two-thirds of that battalion– and who knows what has happened with other battalions?– it strikes me that once again, as already happened in April and July, the US-Allawist insistence on pushing forward with a militaristic assault has resulted in setting back the project to (re-)constitute a new national force, as well as to (re-)constitute a new national political order.
It is quite possible that the only people left in the “Iraqi” battalions after the big desertions, are Kurds. What will that do for inter-ethnic entente in the country, I wonder?
… It seems clear to me that the timing of the assault has been calibrated to fall between last week’s US elections and the opening November 22 of the “Iraqi reconstruction conference” in Sharm al-Sheikh. I guess the Americans wanted to have the worst of the assault all over and “mopped up” before the conference opens.
But who on earth knows what will happen between now and then? Violence will always beget more violence.
Timing-wise, the synchronicity between these extremely tragic affairs in Iraq and Arafat’s long demise in Paris is also very significant…