In the presentation I gave at the Georgetown conference Friday afternoon, one of the main issues I was exploring was the notable shift the Hamas leadership had made, sometime between the 1996 PA legislative elections, which they boycotted, and the 2006 elections, in which they participated– as it turned out, extremely successfully.
The context for them taking the decision to participate was, I think, that of the Sharon government’s 2004-05 decision-and-implementation of the plan to undertake a unilateral (i.e. un-negotiated) pullout of all settlers and troops from Gaza. Also, the horrendous wave of decapitation attacks to which Hamas was subjected in early 2004: Yassin, Rantisi, etc…
The un-negotiated nature of the Israeli pullout was viewed by Hamas people as a great victory for the Hamas strategy of multi-faceted resistance to Israeli occupation as opposed to the strategy Fateh has adopted for many years now, of just about total reliance on negotiations while dismantling all the instruments of resistance, whether mass-popular or military.
In 2005, in addition, Hamas participated along with Fateh and most of the other much smaller Palestinian movements in a joint “unilateral” cessation of hostilities in the Gaza theater, that was designed above all to allow Sharon to implement his pullout plan without the IDF troops being subjected to Palestinian fire as they exited.
The 2005 unilateral ceasefire was also an essential precondition for the holding of orderly PA legislative elections in January 2006, since it’s just about impossible to hold elections that have any political legitimacy in a situation where there are ongoing hostilities.
Anyway, one of the issues I was probing in my Georgetown presentation, and that I’m reflecting on a lot more right now, was the “depth” if you like of the commitment that Hamas has displayed from 2005 on to the PA project. And that commitment continues until now, despite the huge suffering that Israel, the US, and all the US’s hangers-on in the world inflicted on Hamas, its supporters, and the Palestinian people as a whole as a result of Hamas’s victory in the 2006 elections.
The depth of that continuing commitment is what is remarkable to me. (Though it has seldom if ever been remarked upon by most people in the west.)
The PA project, remember, is the child of the Oslo Accord, which was an agreement between Yasser Arafat’s PLO and the Government of Israel. “Buying in” to the PA project in any way therefore implies strong buy-in to the legitimacy of the existence of the State of Israel. It involves strong buy-in to the goal of a two-state outcome, which has always been the most that any Palestinian could expect to achieve from the Oslo process.
Participating in the 2006 PA legislative elections therefore signified an evident break with Hamas’s longstanding refusal to buy in to the two-state project in any meaningful way.
But now, the PA project looks increasingly, to Palestinians both inside and outside the OPTs, as much worse than a failure: a catastrophe. Yet Hamas’s people continue to express their commitment to it.
My judgment is that Hamas, unlike Fateh, has a still-intact Plan B to fall back on once they judge that the whole PA project has irrevocably failed. Not that it is an easy Plan B. But as we have seen, religious people find it easier to bear suffering on earth than most people who do not have that strong faith as their guiding light and their help in times of distress.
But the continuing commitment they have to the PA– and, also, by clear implication, to the survival of Israel– is still something worth a lot more exploring.
Author: Helena
My recent talk at the Palestine Center
… is now up on their website, here.
I’ve watched the first one-third of it, and noticed that at about 9m50s I mis-spoke, saying “counter-intelligence” instead of “counter-insurgency” when describing the security doctrine under which Israel has quadrillaged the whole of the occupied West Bank.
Apart from that, it looked like a good representation of what I wanted to say at the event, which was held March 31.
My big thanks, again, to the Palestine Center for hosting me there, and also for shooting and webhosting the video record of it.
Highlights from the Georgetown Univ. conference on Palestine
I was extremely privileged to be one of the speakers in the conference the Center for Contemporary Arab Studies held Thursday and Friday on “Palestine and the Palestinians Today.” (If I haven’t blogged much the past couple of days, that is why, especially as I was trying to take good notes. Also, I got a big migraine along the way there…. C’est la vie.)
Anyway, just quickly I want to share some highlights.
Yesterday, there was a really good exchange between Ali Abunimeh of Electronic Intifada and Amjad Atallah, a Palestinian-American who’s working with Daniel Levy at New America. (He’s replaced the viciously anti-Hamas Jordanian person Ghaith al-Omari in that slot, which is something of an improvement, though imho not enough of one.)
Amjad was trying to argue that Palestinians should do a lot more to organize at the grassroots, and that Palestinian-Americans in particular should “start” reaching trying to reach out explain their case to people inside and outside government in the US, and that there’s a real chance the US government can become a main ally for the Palestinians once some relatively small misunderstandings have been cleared up. That brought forth howls of protest from Ali and several others at the conference who have actually been doing such organizing and outreach work for many years already (much more than Amjad), and who seemed generally less optimistic than him that it would be easy to swing the weight of the US corporate and decisionmaking elite behind the Palestinians’ cause.
Amjad did make a couple of good points, though. He said that Fateh and Hamas seem to be arguing right now over “who gets to run which parts of the PA administration on behalf of the Israelis” He noted that this was very similar to what happens, in fact, inside the Israeli jails as well. (Or, as I would call them, the Israeli “small jails”, as opposed to the Israeli “big jails” which are what Gaza and all the tiny enclaves in the West Bank have become.
Ali made a strong pitch for stepping up the BDS work (Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions); and said it has been starting to have some small victories in this country already– more so, in Europe.
His best throw-away line was to decsribe the title of Martin Indyk’s recent book Innocent Abroad as “the most dishonest book title in the history of writing.” Couldn’t have put it better myself.
Anyway, that was a good exchange.
Another highlight was a panel, also yesterday, with the anti-Zionist Jewish Israelis Gabi Piterberg and Oren Yiftachel. You may recall that i blogged here recently about the review Gabi had in the LRB on some of the recently translated works of the Hebrew-language novelist S. Yizhar. So I was really pleased to meet him. He’s a historian, and his paper was on the history of the concept of “settler colonialism” as a discrete form of colonialism that has been largely under-studied, for reasons he explained; and on why he believes that concept is the one most applicable to the history of the Zionist settlement project in the Middle East.
He had some really powerful historical examples, including looking at the shift from what he called the “French style” of (labor-exploiting) colonialism that was applied during the “First Aliyah”, under the “Rothschild model”, and how that was then dropped in favor of “pure settler colonialism” under Ruppin and Oppenheimer during the Second Aliyah…
The difference being whether you want to keep a large body of indigenes whose labor you plan to exploit, or whether you just seek to uproot, expel, and if necessary genocide them.
Anyway, he looked at various periods in the history of Zionist colonization projects both within and outside the Green Line– and continuing on both sides of the line until today.
Yiftachel is a geographer at Ben Gurion University, in Beersheva/B’ir Sab’a, whom I had met once before– a long time ago. He’s been working on the situation of the Bedouin Palestinians of southern Israel, a group that, despite being citizens of the State of Israel, are subject to nearly continuous attempts to uproot them from their ancestral lands.
He said he had documented 77 ways in which the state claims it can “legally” expropriate the lands of the Bedouin Palestinians– and that in some cases, four or five of these might be applied simultaneously to the same plot of land.
In the Naqab/Negev area of southern Israel some 55,000-60,000 homes of Bedouin Palestinians have been declared “illegal” and are subject to demolition at the whim of the authorities. Therefore– this is my comment here– their situation as a community is very similar to that of East Jerusalem Palestinians, where the very present threat of home demolitions that may be carried out at any point, at the whim of the authorities, serves as a potent factor that keeps the whole community in a state of constant dread.
The Bedouin Palestinians are citizens, which gives them a few more rights than the EJ Palestinians.
One of the most potent parts of Yiftachel’s presentation was a short series of photos he showed, of the high glass towers of “modern” downtown Beersheva gleaming in the mid-background, while in the foreground were the rude makeshift shacks of Bedouin villagers previously dispossessed but intent on hanging on to their lands.
His description of the situation was “creeping apartheid.”
Sarah Roy gave a very hard critique of the role the “international community” has played in aiding, abetting, and underwriting the costs of all of the strategies of de-development, dispossession, humiliation, and control that Israel has pursued in both Gaza and the West Bank. She ended with a few heartbreaking comments she had heard from friends in Gaza… “People have no sense of protection, no sense of safety, or of rules… We have lost all sense of the ordinary and have no way of thinking how we can regain it.”
She also noted that the old argument that Israeli peaceniks used to make, that Israel cannot have both peace and occupation, now seems to have been disproven for the Jewish-Israeli public. They live in peace, they maintain the occupation– and indeed, the costs of maintaining the occupation, which used to be a constraining factor for Israel, have all now, since Oslo, been lifted from Israel, and are borne by the US and its allies.
She talked about Israel’s “engineering of the Palestinians into becoming perpetual beggars, in both the West bank and Gaza”, and how the international donors have shifted their focus from an emphasis on building up Palestinian capacities for self-determination to focusing just on keeping them alive while controlling them. (She aptly described the procedures whereby aid is delivered into Gaza as being like delivering food to animals in a corral.)
Oh my, there were so many excellent panels! I wish i could write about all of them. I did see that the organizers were videotaping everything, so I hope the tapes of the individual seessions will be made available as soon as possible.
I was on the very last panel, along with Daniel Levy and Saree Makdisi (son of Jean said Makdisi). Saree gave an excellent presentation of his critique of the ethnonationalist underpinnings of the two-state concept, and his arguments for the one-state concept. I wish we’d had a lot more time to brainstorm on exactly how people might get from the present situation to building a powerful and inclusive movement for the one-state outcome.
Daniel surprised me a bit, since I’d always previously heard him as a very articulate advocate of the two-state solution; but he sounded a lot more nuanced and realistic than I’d expected.
His main argument, I think, was for what he called a “Godfather option”: that the US should, after broad consultations, put its own plan on the table and “Make Israel and everyone else an offer they can’t refuse.” He said this need not– and probably would not– look exactly like any of the plans that have previously been discussed, at Camp David 2, Taba, Geneva, or wherever. That was interesting, given that he played a big role in the Geneva back-channel “shadow talks.”
He was much more critical of the traditional Israeli peace movement than I’ve ever heard him before, describing Liebermanism as the bastard child of the fact that so much of the Israeli peace movement used the ‘demographic’ argument to try to make its case.”
He said, I think, that there remains a clear possibility of further ethnic cleansing. (I didn’t gather whether that was from inside or outside the Green Line… should have asked.)
I spoke a bit about my recent trip to the Middle East, with some observations on the main Palestinian political movements, and also on the geographic shifts in the balance of power inside the Palestinian movement.
Oh, I just saw that the video of the talk I gave at the Palestine Center Tuesday, which covers some of the same material, is up on the PC’s website.
Good for them.
Now, I wonder if I can bear to watch myself.
(My own impresssion is that, just in terms of presentational and time-management skills, I did better at the Palestine Center that at the GU event. At the GU event, yesterday, I tried to cram too much in.)
My IPS analysis on the Lieberman bombshell
… is here. Also here.
On a related note, we have this from the Hamas-affiliated Palestinian Information center:
- Dr. Salah Al-Bardaweel, the spokesman of Hamas’s parliamentary bloc in the PLC, reacted to the statements of the new Israeli foreign minister Avigdor Lieberman, who publicly disavowed the Annapolis understandings, saying, “We [in Hamas] weren’t surprised by Lieberman’s statements; however, we consider that such thing should push Fatah faction to review all the feeble agreements it had signed with the Israeli occupation government without bringing any good to the Palestinian people”.
Hamas and the democratically elected PA government have opposed the Annapolis conference from the first moment, and considered it as a “waste of time”, and a stab in the back of the Palestinian resistance, he underscored.
“Today, the moment of truth came, and thus, we need a serious and national stand [from Fatah faction] by halting all forms of security coordination with the Israeli occupation, and to reject all security agreements that tore the unity of our Palestinian people”, Bardaweel emphasized.
On Wednesday, Lieberman underlined that his government won’t be bound by the obligations of the Annapolis conference because it wasn’t ratified by any Israeli cabinet.
Lieberman: No more ‘Israbluff’
Anyone who expected that his appointment as Foreign Minister would somehow ‘tame’ Avigdor Lieberman got a rude shock yesterday when he bluntly told a foreign ministry gathering that Israel was no longer bound by the undertakings reached at the November 2007 Annapolis conference.
He also told Haaretz’s Barak Ravid, “You won’t get any ‘Israbluff’ with me.”
He said he considered Israel was still bound by the Road Map provisions from 2003– but stated very clearly that the Palestinians must fulfill their side of the Road Map before Israel needed to do anything.
Regarding Syria, he told Ravid: “we have already said that we will not agree to withdraw from the Golan Heights. Peace will only be in exchange for peace.”
The positions articulated by Lieberman are very familiar– they are in line not only with his own previous rhetoric but also with the positions articulated and pursued by B. Netanyahu’s earlier government in Israel, 1996-99. No-one should be surprised, therefore, that Netanyahu has done nothing so far to disavow Lieberman’s most recent statements.
The foreign ministry statements were made at a ceremony in which Lieberman took over power from Tzipi Livni, who as head of Kadima will now be in opposition to the Netanyahu government. Many senior members of Israel’s diplomatic corps were there. Some were reported as visibly shaken when they heard the new line they will have to go out to the world to sell.
I have to say it does clarify matters to have Lieberman speaking with such apparent frankness about what Israel’s real policy towards it neighbors will be. In one of the news reports–I forget which– he was quoted as saying that actually his policy will be the same as that followed on the ground by the preceding government, despite its formal adherence to Annapolis. “How many settlements did they dismantle? How many roadblocks?” he asked.
Very good questions.
So now, what he is promising is a change from the policy of “pursue the colonization and control project on the ground while hiding it by participating in all kinds of meaningless negotiations”, by ripping off all the camouflage of the ‘negotiations’.
“No more ‘Israbluff'”, indeed.
Western governments, that have been very happy to connive in the whole “Israbluff” project for 16 years now and have even helped construct the various structures– Oslo, Annapolis, and so on– through which it was exercised, have so far been in apparent shock, and have been unable to say anything to stick up for their “endless negotiations” approach in the face of the demolition job Lieberman has now done on it.
AP reported that U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, now in London with Obama, called Lieberman early today. According to Lieberman spokeswoman Irena Etinger, “the conversation was conducted in a ‘good atmosphere,’ and the two agreed to meet as soon as possible.”
But nothing public from Clinton– or anyone else in the Obama administration– that expressed any criticism or concern about what Lieberman had said.
… I think I’m with Lieberman now– in this way: No more Israbluff, and no more Ameribluff or Eurobluff either.
Let each nation and group of nations pursue its own interests calmly and in a focused way and without participating any more in the mendacious edifice that the “peace process” has become ever since the solid principles of Madrid were transformed into the hocus-pocus of Oslo.
Israelis, mainly peaceniks, Pt. 5: Menachem Klein
Okay, I’m changing my own rules a bit here since I originally intended to use this “Israelis, mainly peaceniks” rubric to collect the highlights from the interviews I conducted with people in that category during my recent trip to Israel. But I never got around to seeing Menachem Klein when I was there; I just went to a talk here he give here in DC at lunch-time today. So I thought I’d insert him into the series here while my memory is still fresh.
He started off with the important observation that all the talk about Israel “possibly becoming” a single state, from the Jordan to the sea, is misleading because it already is one state: “We already live in a de-facto one state. De facto, Israel already rules over all of Mandate Palestine.”
Well that was useful, and I think analytically powerful. As was, too, his description of the fact that within this “de facto one state” Israel rules over five distinct groups of Palestinians, subjecting each group to different rules and limitations.
The five groups he identified were:
- 1. Israeli Palestinians, who have civil and political rights though not full equality.
2. The Palestinians of East Jerusalem, who have no political rights but have rights of “residency” (that is, in East Jerusalem, and thereby also the right to travel within 1948 Israel; he did not spell out sufficiently that the civil rights of the EJ Palstinians are also unacceptably curtailed in that they are not allowed to hold any public political gatherings at all.)
3. The Palestinians of the West Bank who live on the Israeli side of the Wall/barrier.
4. The Palestinians of the rest of the West Bank; and
5. The Palestinians of Gaza.
Klein’s talk was also bracingly honest because he spelled out a number of times that the Mahmoud Abbas regime in the West Bank acts “as a proxy” for the Israelis. He did not provide the kinds of details about how this proxy-hood is exercised in practice that, for example, Mustafa Barghouthi did in the interview I did with him back in February. But too often, people on “the left” in Israel tend to participate in the charade that “the PA” is on some kind of equal footing with the State of Israel, so I found it refreshing that Klein cut through that nonsense.
On another occasion he said,
- The Abbas regime is a protectroate, supported by Israel and funded by the western donor countries, primarily the Europeans.
Interesting that Klein had such a clear-eyed view of the nature of the PA regime, since he was one of the Israeli members of the group that produced the non-governmental 2003 “Geneva Accord”, in which PA cabinet member Yasser Abed Rabboo headed the Palestinian team at Arafat’s request. A great fuss was made of that whole effort as if it was virtually a quasi-governmental agreement. It never was.
I thought Klein made a lot of sense, too, when he said that the situation has changed so radically since 2000, that the two parties can’t simply “pick up the negotiations from where they left off, at Camp David 2 and Taba; that is no longer an option.”
… Thus, nearly all of Klein’s diagnosis of the situation was very accurate. His main inaccuracy in diagnosis came, imho, when he vociferously denied there is any valid comparison to be made between the “de facto one state” that Israel is currently running and the former apartheid regime in South Africa.
His first argument on the apartheid question was to note that the differentiations that Israel made among the five groups of Palestinians he had identified made the situation different from apartheid. In the Q&A period, I noted that apartheid’s securocrats had also introduced, finetuned, and endlessly manipulated many forms of differentiation among their basically disfranchised non-“White” subjects, so the differentiation Israel makes among various groups of Palestinians didn’t prove his point.
He then shifted to an argument that apartheid was based on race (that is, I think, skin color), whereas the current Israeli system is based on “ethnonationalism.” He never did satisfactorily explain why that distinction is important, either.
Look, I know that many Jewish Israelis and their friends in the west just hate to have “the A word” applied to their state. So if it’s the word that’s getting in the way of continuing this rational discussion, my modest proposal is that we find a different word for this. I was thinking about the term “Zipartheid.” Or perhaps just “Z-partheid” (US-style: “zee”; then we could say that concept covers the whole gamut from A to Z…)
Well, those were my own first modest suggestions. But then I was, um, scrolling around on the internet and I came across another suggestion, too: “Spartheid”. Yes, a wonderful idea for the neologism I have in mind, and it also nicely captures the “Spartan”/securocratic culture of this state.
I see the term was coined– in a 2003 article about the nature of Israel’s rule over Jerusalem— by a certain Dr. Menachem Klein…
So maybe we should stick with Spartheid as our new word of choice. (Menachem: what happened to you between 2003 and now?)
Well, moving right along here, though most of Klein’s diagnosis of the situation was excellent– I’ll come back to the apartheid question later– I thought his policy prescription for how to deal with it was really pathetic.
He started and ended his talk by underlining that he is still a strong supporter of the two-state solution. So how, he said, could we think of getting from the present de-facto one state situation to one of two states?
He argued that to do this, it was important to understand why it was that the Israeli government– and so many Israelis– had come to support the present situation. This was, he said, because of the acuteness of their continuing security fears. And so it was those fears that had to be in some way either allayed or reframed… And Israelis had to come to understand that if they wanted to end up with the longterm good security that, in his view, only a two-state outcome could provide, then in the meantime they might have to be prepared to put up with the small risk of decreased “immediate security” that could be associated with withdrawing from the 1967-occupied lands.
Look, this section of his arguments never really made complete sense to me, despite several of us in the audience having pressed him repeatedly on “how to get from here to there”. So maybe I’m misrepresenting the arguments some here, since I did not understand them too well. On the hand, I don’t think I’m misrepresenting them. I think they just are extremely muddled.
My view, fwiw, is that Israelis and others who support a two-state solution should just simply focus on getting a speedy and total withdrawal of Israeli forces and settlers from the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and not even get drawn into the whole game of pandering to the fearfulness of Jewish Israelis about what would ensue thereafter. That fearfulness is to some extent genuine and heartfelt; but it has also, let’s face it, been manufactured and hyped to a large degree by successive securocratic Israeli governments with considerable help and aid from their cheering sections in the US pro-Israel community and the US arms industry.
Klein mentioned– these people all mention, sometimes with the frisson of a sharp intake of breath– the concern about “What would happen to Ben Gurion airport if we withdrew from all the West Bnk?”
You know what? If a government of Israel announced tomorrow that by June 30, three months from now, they intended to have withdrawn all their forces and settlers from the West Bank but they would need to have cast-iron guarantees of the security of the original Israeli state after that withdrawal, then I can guarantee you that the international community, the Palestinians, and everyone else would all be falling over themselves to construct and sign up to the intrusively monitored demilitarization regimes and other measures that would be necessary to provide those guarantees.
And Israel would still have the awesome deterrent power of its army, to hit back extremely hard at anyone who violated the guarantees!
Ben Gurion would be safer than it’s ever been.
What more do they want?
That’s why the whole “security” argument that Menachem was trying, so agonizedly, to make this afternoon was such an unnecessary diversion.
Just end the occupation! Just withdraw! And the successor regime in the West bank will form itself!
Well, he seemed to be edging towards this; but he affiliated it with so many complex arguments about “security netto” and “security bruto”– and about the need to engage with Israelis’ security arguments deeply, rather than just cutting through all the nonsense and hyperventilation that they involve– that it was a little hard to see what he was arguing, exactly.
Also, he never challenged the proposition that of the parties involved, it is only the Israelis who have any valid security concerns at all.
Excuse me??? Starting to see security as a factor of deep interdependence between Israelis and Palestinians is surely the very fount of the wisdom and transformed self-understanding that Jewish Israelis will need if they are ever to start thinking outside the ugly and self-defeating box the securocrats have shut them up into.
Israel is currently a total poster child for the phenomenon known as the “security dilemma”– that is, that one state or party will take actions that so undermine the security of another party that the second party then takes actions against the first party, making it less rather than more secure…
Bottom line: you can’t base a longterm vision of Israel’s security on a policy of perpetuating the insecurity of its neighbors.
… As I understand it, Klein’s argument for withdrawal was based on three kinds of reason (rather than on the one truly principled reason that it has no right to the territories occupied in 1967.) The first was the extremely convoluted argument he used about “security bruto and security netto”. The second was a demographic argument– that “the de facto one state we have is not democratic and it’s not even really Jewish since in a few years Jews will be a minority in the area of Mandate Palestine”. The third was somewhere between an esthetic and a moral argument, expressed in such terms as “I just don’t like the kind of state that we have become.”
For myself, I really don’t like the demographic argument. If you have the total disfranchisement of all the Palestinians of the occupied territories– and all the diaspora Palestinians– then what does it matter if there are more ethnic Palestinians west of the river than “ethnic” Jews, or fewer?
Surely, it’s the disfranchisement that counts, not the relative numbers in the area west of the river.
Because if you buy too deeply into the “demographic” argument, then the Zionist “solution” to it is, surely, simply to reduce the number of Palestinians west of the river.
But the demographic argument seemed to make a big impression on Klein. Maybe it partly underlay the fervency with which he proclaimed his continued adherence to the two-state solution?
For my part, having heard the very lucid description he laid out of the “five categories of Palestinians” over whom Israel currently rules, and of the increasingly close– one might even say organic– ties he described between the settler movement and Israel’s securocracy, I would say that by far the most logical course would seem to be to go directly from the “de facto one state” that currently exists to thinking about a real, transformative, and fully democratic one-state outcome.
Pull out all the half-million settlers to make the two-state solution work? A crazy idea! Pulling out even 20% of them, as Taba and Geneva envisaged, looks increasingly infeasible, if not, by now, totally un-doable. Going back to the old idea of a unitary binational state, as espoused in the past by great thinkers inside both national communities, is looking like a more and more compelling way forward.
(I see that an interesting group of Israelis and Palestinians had a whole conference about the one-state idea, in Boston over the weekend. I’m going to meet some of them at the Georgetown conference over the next couple of days.)
And that brings be back to why, I suspect, these days Menachem Klein really dislikes the apartheid analogy… Because the “answer” to apartheid in South Africa was the unitary and gloriously multinational state.
And the best answer to Spartheid or Z-partheid, in Israel/Palestine will be– ??
Thakur on the ICC, Darfur, and Bashir
When I blogged about the ICC’s missteps on Darfur yesterday I had not yet seen this excellently argued recent article by Ramesh Thakur.
Thakur, who for a long time was Vice-rector of the U.N. University, based in Tokyo, argued centrally there that:
- a more troubling issue is how an initiative of international criminal justice meant to protect vulnerable people from brutal national rulers has managed to be subverted into an instrument of power against vulnerable countries. A court meant to embody and pursue universal justice is in practice reduced to imposing selective justice of the West against the rest.
He writes,
- no senior U.S. general or Cabinet member is likely to face international criminal prosecution for Abu Ghraib, Guantanamo or other abuses.
Does the world not deserve an honest accounting of what happened in Fallujah in April 2004, how many were killed, and whether any criminality was involved, including the use of chemical weapons prohibited under international humanitarian law?
Nuremberg was supposedly about who started the war, not who lost. Same for the Tokyo tribunal. We know who started the Iraq War; and we know they have not been called to account for the crime.
Africans are being held to international accountability for domestic acts of war crimes, but Westerners seem to escape international judgment. What of the war-crime charges by Hamas and some Israelis in Gaza earlier this year?
Unlike Bashir or any other Africans in the dock, whose alleged atrocities were limited to national jurisdictions, the Bush administration asserted and exercised the right to kidnap suspected enemies in the war on terror anywhere in the world and take them anywhere else, including countries known to torture suspects. Many Western allies colluded in this distasteful practice of “rendition.” No Westerner has faced criminal trial for it.
And he argues, as I did in my blog post yesterday, that the ICC should be mothballed until it can become a more robust instrument of a much more equitable international system.
Netanyahu, Iran, and the US MSM’s shameful silence
Aluf Benn writes in Haaretz today that,
- In political circles the view is that yes, Netanyahu as prime minister brings Israel closer to war with Iran. Politicians in touch with Netanyahu say he has already made up his mind to destroy Iran’s nuclear installations. People close to him wonder how the public would receive a joint decision by Netanyahu and Ehud Barak to attack Iran, and whether the move would boost the two men’s popularity. The basic assumption is that diplomacy and sanctions will not gain a thing, and the only way to stop Iran’s nuclear program will be by force, which only Israel is motivated to apply.
This is also the assessment of the international media, who consider an Israeli strike against Iran a near certainty.
Actually, Benn is wrong to claim that “the international media” have expressed themselves clearly one way or another regarding the probability of an Israeli attack against Iran. Here in the US, the big MSM prefer not to think, or say anything, about this matter, at all.
Because if they did, they would have to come to the same conclusion that I reached long ago– and that I see M.J. Rosenberg expressed yesterday on TPM Cafe, namely that, as he wrote:
- An Israeli attack on Iran would jeopardize a myriad of American interests in the region, starting with 130,000 US troops but Netanyahu talks as if he can call the shots without any regard for our interests.
That’s why the MSM really don’t want to deal with this. They seem completely reluctant to admit that on some extremely important topics, Israel’s interests can diverge radically from those of the US citizenry— and indeed, can put in direct jeopardy the lives of many scores of thousands of our citizens.
MJ also wrote this:
- In this week’s New Yorker, Seymour Hersh reports that, just before leaving office, Dick Cheney told the Israelis that Obama is a wimp and could be ignored.
Netanyahu appears to have bought into the Cheney thesis and is now testing it by insulting the President on the day he is sworn in as Prime Minister. Let’s see if Obama let’s him get away with it. My guess is that Bibi just made the first major blunder of his tenure. [MJ: the eternal optimist, I see. ~HC]
It is also not a coincidence that Netanyahu trash talked Iran while US Special Envoy Holbrooke was holding the Obama administration’s first face-to-face meeting with an Iranian official in The Hague. This is in keeping with the pattern set by President Shimon Peres who sent a nasty greeting to the Iranian people simultaneously with Obama’s friendly overture. The name of the game is to make it impossible for Obama to achieve a breakthrough with Iran by always leaving the impression that America is in thrall to Israel. Clever. And dangerous.
Meanwhile, over in the blog post in which Jeffrey Goldberg wrote up his “exclusive interview” with Netanyahu, he also writes that Moshe Ya’alon, who’s a leading security adviser to Netanyahu, “told me that a nuclear Iran could mean the end of American influence in the Middle East.”
Is Jeff Goldberg extremely stupid (in that he does nothing to distance himself, as the reporter, from this deeply flawed and disingenuous judgment)– or did Ya’alon just successfully play him along as being extremely stupid?
It is an Israeli military strike against Iran that would signal “the end of American influence in the Middle East” more than anything else. A nuclear-capable Iran is something that both the US and Israel could live with (as Efraim Halevy and others have written, with regard to Israel.)
Much better for everyone in the region and all round the world, of course, would be complete, negotiated denuclearization as advocated by Global Zero. But the idea that an Israeli act of war against Iran would be anything other than catastrophic for the US in the region is complete nonsense.
Btw, the often very well-informed Richard Sale also has some interesting tidbits of info about aspects of the covert ops the Israelis and US worked on against Iran’s nuclear program in the George W Bush era, here. (HT: B of Moon of Alabama.)
Among Sales tidbits: that for almost a decade Israel has been trying, often with US help and encouragement, to assassinate “key Iranian assets”.
Sale continues,
- But U.S. opposition to the program has intensified as U.S. President Barack Obama makes overtures aimed at thawing 30 years of tension between the two countries.
Part of this is due to the U.S.’s desire to use Iran’s road networks into Afghanistan to help resupply U.S.-NATO forces there.
But Israel’s interests in the region are not the same as those of the United States, several U.S. officials said.
I’ll say!
Later, Sale adds these further details:
- Israel’s targeting killing program was done in concert with the [George W.] Bush administration, former U.S. sources said.
A former senior CIA official described several joint U.S.-Mossad operations to derail Iran’s nuclear program as “something out of slapstick.” All had failed miserably, he said.
A new wave of assassination and sabotage programs were launched in spite of the fact that in 2005, the United States had little to no intelligence about the status of Iran’s nuclear weapons program.
According to U.S. sources, in 2004, the CIA had lost its entire agent network in Iran when a CIA headquarters communications officer was about to send instructions to an agent via its Immarsat transmitter/receivers. The CIA officer attempted to download data intended for a single operative, but accidentally hit a button that sent it to the entire U.S. spy network in Iran, these sources said.
The information was received by a double agent who forwarded it to Iranian counterintelligence, which quickly wrapped up the entire network, leaving Washington completely blind.
Ah, the much-feared CIA.
De Waal & Flint’s great new article on ICC-Darfur
Longtime readers of JWN are aware that I have long been intensely skeptical about the value of “international” war-crimes courts, in general. Some of my concerns were spelled out in this Spring 2006 article in Foreign Policy: PDF; ignore the Latin and the blank space for ads. My criticisms were more fully spelled out in the concluding chapter to my 2006 book Amnesty After Atrocity? Healing Nations After Genocide and War Crimes.
And yes, just so that our many pro-Israeli readers understand my position, let me also spell out that some years ago, when my friend Chibli Mallat was working with survivors of the Sabra and Shatila massacres to have their case against Ariel Sharon prosecuted in a Belgian court, I had severe misgivings about that effort, too. I felt then, and still feel today, that the Palestinians have something more important they need from Israel’s leaders than to have the short-lived satisfaction of seeing them in a courtroom: They need Israel’s leaders to end the occupation of the Palestinian lands that has continued far too long… And some time after that, there might be an all-round reckoning regarding everyone’s criminal acts of the past.
Trying to do criminal prosecutions before a conflict is ended is, generally speaking, to put the cart before the horse. Worse than that, even just bringing the criminal case puts the defendant into a “defensive crouch” and can thereby exacerbate tensions– as it certainly has done with Sudanese Pres. Omar Hassan al-Bashir. And the whole prosecution effort diverts time, attention, and other scarce resources away from the main goal, which should be a concerted effort at sustainable conflict termination.
After all– a point seldom mentioned in the law-books– atrocities on the scale that are prosecuted in these war-crimes courts take place only in the circumstances of intense and violent inter-group conflict. So first, the conflict(s) must be ended. Otherwise, the risk of further atrocities down the pike only continues.
All of which is a slightly lengthy introduction to the warm invitation I extend to all JWN readers to go and read this excellent article about the ICC’s Darfur case, which has just been published in World Affairs Journal.
The authors, Julie Flint and Alex De Waal, are both real (and much published) experts on Darfu; and they’ve voiced some criticisms before now of the wisdom of the indictment ICC Chief Prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo issued against Pres. Bashir. In this latest article, which is lengthy and extensively researched, they delve in great detail into Moreno-Ocampo’s personal record at the ICC, and before that, too.
He really does look like a terrible pick, made somewhat hastily by ICC’s governing “Assembly of States Parties”, back in 2002.
Flint and de Waal hold out some hope that– most likely with a different Chief Prosecutor– the ICC can still some day start to live up to the hopes of the many millions (or, maybe, hundreds of thousands?) of rights activists who had worked so hard for its establishment throughout the 1990s.
Continue reading “De Waal & Flint’s great new article on ICC-Darfur”
Netanyahu promises… continuous negotiations!
Give me a break! The Palestinians have had nearly continuous negotiations with Israel since the Madrid Conference, held 17.5 years ago.
‘Negotiations’ aren’t lacking. Successful peace negotiations– that is, negotiations that (a) result in a peace agreement and (b) that leads to implementation: Those are what is lacking.
‘Negotiations’ as a cover for continued pursuit of the colony-building project is all that Netanyahu is promising.
Analogous to ‘shooting while crying’, this could be summed up as ‘colony-building while [endlessly] negotiating.’
No-one should be fooled. This charade known as ‘negotiations’ has gone on W-A-Y-S too long already.
When I interviewed Salam Fayyad a month ago, he said the only thing that would make returning to the negotiating table worthwhile would be if there is a complete halt on settlement-building. “Not a brick” in the words of some Palestinians.
I would describe that as a pretty minimal demand.
Between 1991 and 2007, the numbers of settlers in the West Bank including East Jerusalem rose from 227,600 to above 372,000.