My recent long article on Hizbullah has continued to evoke a broad– and fairly predictable– range of reactions in various places. I’ll be giving a public presentation on the subject in DC on June 1, in case any of you is able to get there. (More details later.) The date is a little delayed, I know. But I really do need to focus on finishing my violence-in-Africa book. Then in late May, I’ll be teaching a summer course over at Eastern Mennonite University….
Anyway. Bottom line here. I’m a member of an on-line discussion group on (mainly) Gulf affairs, and recently started reading some postings there on the topic of Bush and Hizbullah. So yesterday I dashed off the following comment:
- It is extremely “rich” that the same Bush administration that has handed over a lot of the security work in Iraq to the Pesh Merga (and some to foreign mercenaries) should be the one saying that party militias can absolutely not be allowed in Lebanon! However, the general principles that the state should have a monopoly on the means of force and that security forces should come under the governance of the civilian political leadership (preferably, a democratically constituted one) are very valuable ones indeed.
In Lebanon, the state, being itself weak, has until recently in essence subcontracted many of the security reponsibilities in South Lebanon to Hizbullah, which had “won” that right by being the force that liberated the area from foreign military occupation. (How many other people remember the Israeli-forced “high noon at Kawkaba” back in March 1978?) Hizbullah’s command of this private militia is certainly not a desirable situation over the long or even shorter term. But it is overwhelmingly the business of the Lebanese themselves to deal with it. It was interesting to see the very low degree of support the recent Zogby poll found, in many segments of Lebanese society including Maronites, for the idea of a forced disarming of Hizbullah. The Lebanese seem clearly to prefer negotiations to regularize the situation of the people who currently staff the Hizbullah-affiliated territorial defense and deterring-Israel formations in the South. Perhaps this could be done along the lines recently suggested by Sheikh Naim Qasem. This would broadly parallel the efforts Abu Mazen has been pursuing to fold the combatants from Hamas and other militant groups into the centralized PA security structure.
Let’s all continue hoping and working for a comprehensive peace in the area– Israel-Syria, Israel-Lebanon, intra-Lebanese, Israeli-Palestinian, etc. In that context, the amounts of national revenue that all these parties keep tied up until now in military preparedness could be radically reduced. Until then, some form of citizen-based, territorially organized defense probably makes a lot of sense for the people of south Lebanon.
I’d like to be able to argue that a completely nonviolent civilian mass movement might “hold off” the Israelis better than such a force. But the comparative records of the Palestinians’ (largely nonviolent) first intifada, which won them nothing lasting from Israel, and Hizbullah’s exactly contemporaneous pursuit of armed struggle, which in combination with expert civilian organization did succeed in liberating national territory, would make that argument a very hard sell indeed…
Helena Cobban
Oh heck– just because the argument would be a hard sell, I shouldn’t make it? What on earth kind of un-Quakerly thinking is that??
So I’ll make it:
- The people of south Lebanon could do really well to study the nonviolent means by which Mahatma Gandhi’s satyagraha movement not ony resisted the entire weight of the British Army in India but was also able to persuade the British to pull their forces out of India completely.
Go for it!
Using these means successfully requires a strategic and very deeply philosophical commitment to the principles of nonviolence. But since Hizbullah has already shown its high level of experience and expertise in civilian mass organizing it already has much of the groundwork in place for such a campaign.
And no: nonviolence is by no means anathema to Muslim teachings. One of Gandhi’s key lieutenants in his principled and successful movement against British occupation was the Pathan leader Badshah Khan, the “Gandhi of the Northwest frontier.”
Ach. That stuff is so important, I’ll have to come back to it again sometime soon.
But for now, I just want to add into this post some points that were made in that same on-line discussion forum by the Beirut-based writer Nicholas Blanford, who gave me permission to reproduce them here.
Nick, who’s been following Hizbullah a lot more closely than I have and has done so for a number of years, wrote the following:
- A few points perhaps worth noting.
1. The debate has yet to begin in earnest on the future status of Hizbullah’s military wing, the Islamic Resistance, and it probably won’t begin until at least after the parliamentary elections scheduled to be held at the end of May. What Hizbullah has been doing through its various declarations is staking out its initial bargaining position. Essentially, their position is as follows: They want the Islamic Resistance to remain intact and under Hizbullah’s chain of command while accepting increased coordination with the Lebanese Army (i.e., the government). They will not initiate military confrontations with the Israelis along the Blue Line (the UN name for Lebanon’s southern border with Israel and the Golan Heights/Shebaa Farms) with the exception of the Shebaa Farms theater in the south east corner. They will, however, reserve the right to respond to Israeli acts of aggression (overflights, ground breaches of the Blue Line etc). Since 2000, Hizbullah has cultivated a public image of defender of Lebanese sovereignty from Israeli aggression, and its initial bargaining position deviates little from its current modus operandi along the Blue Line.
2. The Islamic Resistance is the beating heart of Hizbullah and the party will do what it can to retain it. They will play for time in the hope that domestic and/or regional developments will intervene to rescue them. In the meantime, the party is even willing to subordinate potential political gains for the sake of the Resistance. That means co-opting and appeasing other Shiite/Sunni political groups to retain them as allies and defenders of the Resistance, rather than alienate them by competing aginst them politically and turning them into opponents.
3. The big question is how far Hizbullah will go to keep the Resistance intact. Will they risk destabilizing Lebanon for the sake of the Resistance or will they yield if the majority of Lebanese clearly support disarmament?