Is Salam Fayyad—a Palestinian economist who was
‘parachuted’ into the position of Palestinian Authority (PA) prime minister
under strong US influence in June 2007—now following in the footsteps of
Iraq’s Nuri al-Maliki and Lebanon’s Fouad Siniora by declaring a new degree of
independence from US tutelage and a new level of commitment to the broad
national interests of his own people?
On March 7, Fayyad announced he had tendered his resignation
to PA president Mahmoud Abbas. He explained that he was stepping down so he would
not be an obstacle in the formation of a national unity government that would
enjoy the support of both the big Palestinian political movements, Fateh and
Hamas.
However, in recent weeks Fayyad has given several indications
that his attitude towards the always halfhearted peace diplomacy of the United
States—the country in which he has spent most of his adult life—has become more
critical. This raises the intriguing possibility that he might re-emerge as PA
prime minister even within a national unity government in which Hamas would
have strong influence.
Thus far, however, Hamas spokesmen have remained
skeptical of Fayyad’s motives, with one of them describing his resignation as
just another “tactical maneuver” by the Americans.
(Update Tuesday 7 a.m.: Hamas’s skepticism about the meaning/intention of Fayyad’s resignation would seem to have been considerably justified by the leaks coming out of Hillary’s entourage to the effect that the resignation, and the manner in which he effected it, was actually just “a tactical move, designed to pressure Hamas into softening its opposition to Fayyad serving as prime minister in a unity government.” But perhaps the leaks themselves, rather than or even in addition to the resignation itself, were the ploy? I discuss that possibility and some of its implications at greater length here.)
In an interview I conducted with Fayyad on February 24, when
he was already clearly contemplating his resignation move, he expressed a newly
tough nationalist position on Israel’s non-compliance with commitments its
government has made to the international community on halting settlement
construction, halting IDF incursions into PA-controlled areas of the West Bank,
and removing barriers to access to Gaza, between Gaza and the West Bank, and
within the West Bank itself.
(Fayyad also reportedly
made many of these same arguments to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton when he
met her in Ramallah on March 3.)
In the interview with Just World News, Fayyad said,
My worries continue about my plan to gain freedom for our people so we can live in harmony with all our neighbors, including Israel. The prospects of gaining this goal are now receding. If Israel goes ahead with its plan to develop the E-1 area, that will be the end of our hopes for a two-state solution.
Also, what is happening in Jerusalem is very worrying, with the Israelis’ threat to demolish 88 houses in East Jerusalem.
… The international community has
invested heavily in the two-state solution, and not only financially. If the
two-state solution is to keep its credibility as an option three things need to
happen:
First, there has to be a complete
settlement freeze everywhere in the occupied territories including East
Jerusalem, and there has to be the removal of settlement outposts in line with
the 2002 Road Map as was also reaffirmed at Annapolis. This is not negotiable.
Second, Israel has to change its
behavior in the West Bank. It has to stop the incursions into Areas A
and B, and return to the positions of September 28, 2000, as also called for in
the Road Map. We have proved we have restored law and order throughout the West
Bank, so they have no pretext to send their own forces in, and every time they
do that it undermines us very seriously.
Third, regarding access issues, we
need to see the implementation of the 2005 Agreement on Movement and Access,
including not only access into Gaza but also the link between Gaza and the West
Bank and restoration of freedom of movement inside the West Bank.
The first two of those requirements
are non-negotiable. The third one maybe needs some further interpretation.
If we look at the peace process
like a private company then I would say that unless those requirements are met,
I personally would not buy stocks in this company!
Fayyad is not a member of either Fateh or Hamas. After many years working as an
economist in the U.S., including with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Washington, in 1995 he
went to Ramallah to head the mission IMF sent to help the infant PA establish its financial and
economic system. In 2001, he switched to being the PA’s finance minister.
Then, in the PA’s parliamentary elections of January 2006,
he ran for election as a member of the newly formed, basically ‘technocratic’
Third Way Party. It won 2.4% of
the popular vote, which gave it two members of the 132-member Palestinian
Legislative Council (PLC). Hamas was the big winner in those elections. It is not known whether they had any
strong interest in having Fayyad stay on as finance minister. But anyway, the US and Israel put
extremely—in some cases potentially lethally– strong pressure on all the
political independents in the PLC not to join a Hamas-led government at
that time; and none of them did.
However, when Fateh and Hamas had their short-lived earlier
experience of a unity government, after they concluded the Mecca Agreement of
February 2007, Fayyad joined that government as finance minister. He made clear
in the interview that when he did that, his commitment to having the PA meet
the three conditions that the US-designed ‘Road Map’ specified for it was
clear, and well-known to everyone, including Hamas.
In June 2007, however, the Mecca Agreement collapsed amidst
intra-Palestinian clashes, many of which had clearly been instigated by the
US-trained and US-financed Fateh forces.
As tensions mounted, the Fateh forces in Gaza collapsed and pro-Hamas
units then expelled the Fateh remnants completely from the Strip. Ismail
Haniyeh of Hamas, who had been prime minister in both the post-election and the
post-Mecca governments, then established a Hamas-only government in Gaza while
the strongly US-backed PA president, Mahmoud Abbas, set up a parallel
‘emergency’ government in Ramallah headed by Fayyad.
Since February 26 of this year, Fateh, Hamas, and the other
Palestinian movements—all of which are considerably smaller than those
two—have been engaged in a new round of negotiations, in Cairo, over
forming a national unity government, a project for which Fayyad expressed some
slightly guarded support in the interview.
He said that the problem of division in Palestinian ranks
has existed for a very long time;
indeed it preceded the present rift with Hamas. It is not an easy problem…
But despite the fundamental
differences in the platforms of the two movements, we need to remember that the
PLO wasn’t always as we see it today. It evolved over time: the turning point
was 1988, when the PLO offered major compromises. So political evolution
occurs, and it may or may not occur with Hamas.
Secondly, we need to remember that
all the Palestinians agree on the fundamental point that the occupation
of 1967 needs to end and we need to have an independent Palestinian state with
East Jerusalem as its capital. The difference between us is whether that is
enough.
Thirdly the PLO represents all
Palestinians, and it fully subscribes to the two-state solution as the end of
the conflict with Israel.
So what we need to do is on the one
hand work to get the PLO platform adopted by everyone, and on the other, to
govern ourselves in such a way that we can manage the differences between us.
The PLO (Palestinian Liberation Organization) is the
historic Palestinian nationalist movement, founded in 1964. Today, it serves as a broad umbrella
movement that tries to represent
the interests of all Palestinians, both those who by virtue of their
current residence in the West bank and Gaza are represented by (and vote in the
elections of) the PA and the very much larger number of Palestinians who are
exiled from their historic homeland, living inside or outside refugee camps in
the Middle East and also scattered throughout many other parts of the world.
Though the western media focus heavily on political developments
within the much narrower confines of the PA, the PLO remains very important in
Palestinian politics. Indeed, the
PA itself can best be understood as a sub-project of the broader PLO since it
was born out of the 1993 Oslo Agreement, which was concluded between the
Government of Israel and the PLO, and was accompanied by a formal exchange of
recognitions between those two parties.
And, as Fayyad noted, it had been the decision the PLO took
back in 1988 to offer recognition to Israel within its post-1948 borders
that had paved the way for the whole negotiation that led to the Oslo
Agreement.
Since the late 1960s, the PLO has been strongly dominated by
Fateh. Other players there include an alphabet soup of other, much smaller
secular nationalist movements, many of them with ties to different Arab states.
Hamas, by contrast, has never been a part of the PLO. For a number of years now, Hamas has expressed an interest
in joining the PLO, while many Fateh leaders have expressed continuing fears
that Hamas sought not to join it but to replace it.
Not surprisingly, the question of the terms on which Hamas
might join the PLO is one of the key issues in the current national
reconciliation negotiations in Cairo. Hamas MPs told me in Ramallah recently
that they insist that the PLO be thoroughly democratized. They
argued—with considerable justification—that PLO’s governance system
has become deeply ossified and is now completely unaccountable to the people
whom it claims to represent.
(Though Hamas was only a late convert to the governance system
instituted in the occupied territories by the PA, these MPs also argued that a
system of regular elections very similar to the PA’s should also be introduced
at the level of the broader PLO.)
In the interview with Fayyad I asked whether he expected the
negotiations in Cairo to result in enough agreement between the parties to
allow the crossings into Gaza to be opened?
He said, “Hamas has indicated its willingness to have the PA
at the crossings. But we need to see action on this promise from them. They
can’t dictate to us who will be there, or how they’ll operate.”
I asked whether he judged that the international community was
more supportive of Palestinian unity now than in 2007.
He noted that, “Security Council resolution 1860 tells us that
the world encourages that”—as indeed, it does.
He also reflected on his experience in the earlier national
unity government, in 2007:
Some of us assert that the
opposition of the international community doomed the government but I disagree.
It collapsed because of the internal discord—because of the violent
takeover of the government in Gaza by Hamas.
It is important for us to
take our own initiatives. My attitude when I joined the national unity
government was to pursue my pragmatic goal. And just before I joined it, I
noted publicly that I supported the Road Map conditions and the PLO’s previous
commitments. I had even written an op-ed for the LA Times in which I spelled this out explicitly. So yes, my support
for the PLO’s commitments was well-known to everyone before I joined.
Also, when I was in the national
unity government, I had an open meeting with Condoleezza Rice. So it’s not true
that the national unity government was completely isolated by the international
community. It was boycotted only by Israel. In fact, the process was starting
to work a bit, and to gain some recognition from the international community,
before it collapsed.
I pressed him further on whether, this time around, he
thought that Fateh and Hamas could reach an entente more successful than the
fragile one reached in 2007. He
responded,
If that is not possible,
then we have no possible statehood. If this problem between them is not fixed,
then that is the end of decades of struggle for freedom and independence.
The situation is urgent. Israel doesn’t have territorial
ambitions in Gaza, but it clearly does for the West Bank, including Jerusalem.
Settlement activity has if anything accelerated since Annapolis. It is very
serious, indeed! So we could see the end of our ambition to have an independent
state in the West bank and Gaza.
However, if the parties fail to
agree at this point, there would be something we could do. We could just accept
the fact that we can’t agree but insist on de-escalation of the internal
conflict, and agree to end the internal hostilities. We could say that for now
the parties can’t agree—but agree on de-escalation.
He emphasized, however, the urgency of the need for new
elections in both the West Bank and Gaza:
We have to have a date certain for these
elections, for both the president and the parliament of the PA– regardless of
whether the negotiations for a national unity government succeed or not. The
sooner the better for these elections. And yes, of course, election outcomes
should be respected.
All the parliamentarians whom
Israel is still holding need to be released, and so do all the political
prisoners… Release of prisoners is an urgent issue, not a final-status issue.
Yes, the parliamentarians certainly need to be released.
New elections would guard the unity
of the West Bank and Gaza and give the people hope that the internal divide can
be ended. Also, the prospect of elections would force the political leaders to
be attentive to the needs of the people, rather then engaging in continued
violence.
New elections are indeed very necessary if the PA’s project is
to retain any of the, already very fragile political legitimacy that it now
has. Mahmoud Abbas’s term as
president ran out in January. The legality of the move under which he named
Fayyad as ‘emergency’ prime minister back in 2007 has always been strongly
contested. And perhaps most damaging of all to the political legitimacy of the
whole PA project has been the fact that ever since June 2006 Israel has held
around 40 of the PLC’s duly elected members in prisons in Israel, bringing against
them only very clearly politicized charges of contact with hostile entities, or
in some cases, no charges at all.
The legitimacy of the PA project is also heavily criticized
at a broader level by many Palestinians since the clear expectation of all
Palestinians back in 1993 was that the Oslo Agreement would lead to the
establishment of a fully independent Palestinian state within just a few years. The text of Oslo itself stipulated that
the negotiations for a final-status agreement between the two sides would be
concluded in May 1999. That deadline came and went. Now, ten years later,
negotiations for a final-status agreement are still nowhere in sight. Meanwhile,
in the 16 years since Oslo, Israel has more than doubled the number of illegal
settlers whom it has implanted into the occupied West Bank, including East
Jerusalem.
If the PA can hold elections for a new president and new
parliament, that would not in itself solve the deeper problems of the post-Oslo
diplomacy’s complete non-performance for the Palestinians, but it could give the
PA project as a whole a bit of a needed boost. Plus, just the process of
organizing and holding the elections throughout the occupied Palestinian
territories could help to underline the political unity of all these
territories, including East Jerusalem. And this, at a time when the Israeli
authorities have been undertaking several worrying new attacks on the rights of
East Jerusalem’s 220,000 Palestinians.
Fayyad described his vision of how he seeks to further the
Palestinian cause in the following terms:
‘Normalcy’, as we see it here in
the occupied Palestinian territories, should be a step on the way to national
independence, not a substitute for it…
The platform of our government is
to get to freedom and independence by building facts on the ground. We’ll
continue to do what we can to stick around… We need to build toward statehood
despite the fact we’re living under occupation, with the goal of ending the
occupation. Our campaign to do this is wholly built on nonviolence…
Yes, it will take a long time, but
when we get where we’re going it will be because of our approach.
He explained that the nonviolent campaign he sees himself as
leading operates at both the top-down and the grassroots level; and he talked
about the different parts of the West Bank where he’s been able to visit, see
conditions, and provide some funds to strengthen local communities. “So it’s a
bifocal strategy: it operates at both levels,” he said.
Fayyad and the people who work with him describe many
different campaigns he has pursued, in different parts of the occupied West
Bank (but not in East Jerusalem), both to strengthen local Palestinian
communities through targeted investment and to “resolve tour people’s security
problems” by suppressing any Palestinian armed movements that are not under the
PA’s—and in practice, under Fayyad’s– own strict control.
Under Fayyad, the PA’s security forces have been strongly
criticized by many Palestinians for crackdowns that have resulted in the
imprisonment of around 300 Palestinian dissidents, and the death in security
force hands of at least one dissident imam. Palestinians have noted that on
occasion PA security forces have intervened to prevent unarmed demonstrators
from even approaching IDF positions deep inside the West Bank; and that the PA
forces have done nothing to prevent IDF snatch squads, assassination squads, or
reconnaissance squads from operating even in the heart of allegedly
PA-controlled cities.
On the other hand Fayyad and his supporters claim they have
restored a very welcome level of calm to previously lawless areas like central
Nablus or Jenin. And Fayyad
himself has—unlike Abbas—made a point of traveling around the West
Bank to places like the village of Bil’in to express his strong support for the
nonviolent actions that village residents have maintained for many years now
against Israel’s continuing encroachments on their land.
Many Palestinians also note that during the recent Gaza war,
Fayyad positioned himself in a politically much smarter way than Abbas. In the early days of the war Abbas
openly blamed Hamas for having provoked Israel’s harsh attacks on Gaza; Fayyad
never did that, and was seen as expressing greater support for a speedy
ceasefire and greater sympathy for the great losses suffered by Gaza’s people,
than Abbas.
In the interview with me, Fayyad also expressed stronger
criticisms of the US’s past role than anything that has recently been expressed
by Abbas.
He said,
In addition to what I said earlier
about the preconditions for the success of our campaign, we need a paradigm
shift from the US, away from thinking in advance of any negotiations that
any settlement of our conflict needs to be acceptable to Israel. What we need instead is to see the
implementation of the terms of international law, which can’t be treated merely
as recommendations.
The Americans need to realize that
with the PLO’s Declaration of Independence in 1988 we gave a major and painful
compromise. We gave up our claim on 78% of our homeland.
Americans need to realize that the
Israeli settlements are illegal under international law.
Fayyad seems to be a mild-mannered man. But as he stated that last point, he
showed the more animation than he had displayed at any other point in the interview,
chopping one arm down in the air beside him a few times as he sat and talked,
for emphasis.
“Our position,” he continued,
is essentially that of the Arab Peace
Initiative, which is the same as the position underlying the Madrid Conference,
and the same as the Palestinian Declaration of Independence of 1988. International law needs to be
brought into our conflict with Israel as the equalizer. Otherwise, we are
simply left at the mercy of the stronger party.
The world perhaps thought we were
ready to make yet more concessions. But if so, they thought that
wrongly.
Thank you for this piece, Helena. It has increased my understanding of the various Palestinian factions, and the entire situation in Palestine, immensely.
Giving $5.2 billion to the Palestinian Authority (PA) will do little tobring real change in the condition of the Palestinian refugees or securityin the Middle East. Instead of rebuilding the “shelters” in the refugeecamps as the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugeesin the Near East (UNRWA) has done for decades, this huge sum of money shouldgo to build new communities, industry and a civilian infrastructure for aviable Palestinian state. US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton declared the U.S. has “worked with thePalestinian Authority to install safeguards that will ensure our funding isonly used where and for whom it is intended and does not end up in the wronghands.” The World Bank recommending that the donors give their “budget support” tothe PA directly through its Central Treasury Account. It also suggesteddirect donations through other organizations such as: “the EU-PEGASE, theWorld Bank administered PRDP-Trust Fund,” and a few others. The U.S., the World Bank and other donors rely on Palestinian Prime MinisterSalam Fayyad’s promise that the money would not reach Hamas or be used forany terrorist activity. Yet, Fayyad, a former Resident Representative of theInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) in the West Bank and Gaza, has littlecontrol over PA funds in Fatah-controlled West Bank, let alone inHamas-controlled Gaza. Fayyad himself stated many times that controlling Palestinian finances “isvirtually impossible.” Moreover, last month, despite Fatah-Hamas bloodydisagreements, Fayyad diverted $21.5 million sent from Israel to Gaza to payPA employees’ salaries, to rebuild the houses of Gaza residents that weredestroyed during Operation Cast Lead. On March 7th, Fayyad announced hisresignation, to facilitate the Fatah unity government with Hamas. This was not the first time the Fatah-led government was sending money toHamas. On Jan. 15, 2008, Fayyad’s government declared it would give Hamas40% ($3.1 billion) of the $7.4 billion that was pledged in December 2007 byinternational donors. Furthermore, in October, 2008, despite the bloodycrackdown on Fatah members in Gaza, the PA was paying the salaries of atleast 77,000 “loyal employees.” Yet, before Hamas took over, there were only21,000 PA paid loyalists in Gaza. Once the power-sharing negotiationsbetween Hamas and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas are completed,billions of dollars will go to Hamas, which continue to call for thedestruction of Israel. Since the Oslo Accords, the PA received some $14 billion to $20 billion ininternational aid, according to a 2007 Funding for Peace Coalition (FPC)report to the British Parliament. Each Palestinian received $4,000 to $8,000per year. However, of the $7 billion pledged international aid, only $5billion were spent to assist more than 5 million Tsunami victims in morethan 15 countries on two continents. If the newly pledged $5.2 billion are distributed, each of the 4 millionPalestinians in the West Bank and Gaza would receive $1,300 dollars. Incomparison, the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), providedin humanitarian aid for 2.5 million Darfur refugees from 2003 to 2006 –only $100 per person annually. The PA uses a large amount of the aid it receives to support the terroristactivities against Israel. Each Palestinian or Israeli Arab, imprisoned inan Israeli jail, is entitled to financial assistance from the PalestinianAuthority, if he (or she) was sentenced for activity connected to the”struggle against the Israeli occupation.” Jonathan Dahoah-Halevi documented at least $40 million per year, paid to atleast 11,600 (in march 2008) Palestinian terrorists in Israeli jails. Inaddition, the PA uses its budget to assist thousands more released prisonersand pay bonuses to the families of suicide bombers. Thus, foreign aid to thePA should be given only when the PA publicly denounces terrorist activitiesagainst Israel and stop the support to the terrorists. The billions of dollars poured into Gaza since Israel pulled out in 2005,have resulted in the strengthening of the radical Islamic Hamas. It keepsthe Palestinians under its thumb poor and oppressed and uses their childrenand women as human shields. Hamas strives not only for the destruction ofIsrael. It hosts other terrorist groups, including al-Qaeda, and uses theGaza Strip as training grounds. With Iran’s help, it threatens to underminepro Western regimes in the region. The only way to ensure the $5.2 billion produces a real change to the livesof the impoverished Palestinian in Gaza, create a viable Palestinian stateand stability in the region, is by conditioning this money on the PA’scessation of all terrorist activities. Moreover, to ensure the funds do notreach Hamas and are used properly, the money should not be administered byany Palestinian organization, or Hamas supporting UNRWA, but by aninternational monitoring group.