The roots of Hamas resilience

Yesterday, the Israeli air force dropped a large (and most likely US-supplied) bomb on the apartment-building home of Nizar Rayyan, one of the top five leaders of Hamas in Gaza, killing him and 15 family members, including children, and wounding numerous neighbors. The Hamas website reported the killing, and gave a brief eulogy for Rayyan, here.
The “strategy” of the Israeli government, if it can even be called that, now seems to have shifted from “taming” Hamas to decapitating or even completely dismantling Hamas. As I noted here last Monday, a dismantling/decapitating war, which was then being advocated by Ehud Barak, implies a very different approach to both operations and diplomacy than a “taming” war.
Today, Israel attacked the homes of other Hamas leaders. Many of the heavily populated areas of Gaza City, Rafah, and Jabaliya now look, from the photos, very similar to Beirut’s southern “Dahiyeh” suburbs after the US-supplied Israeli warplanes started blasting into it in July 2006. But at least the residents of the Dahiyeh had places elsewhere in Beirut and Lebanon that they were able to flee to (and they found that Lebanese of all stripes including previous critics of Hzibullah, were very eager to help give them emergency shelter and emergency aid.)
Now, where can the residents of blasted areas inside Gaza flee to? And remember: the winters can get very cold in that corner of the Mediterranean.
And yet… this is what AP is reporting today: Hamas resilient despite Israeli onslaught.
Reporters Ibrahim Barzak and Karin Laub write this:

    Israel is methodically targeting the Hamas domain, bombing government offices, security compounds, commanders, and even Hamas-linked clinics, mosques and money changers. Yet Gaza’s Islamic rulers show no sign of buckling under the aerial onslaught.
    Israel says Hamas still has thousands of rockets. Hamas TV and radio remain on the air, broadcasting morale-boosting battle reports. Hamas’ political and military leaders communicate from hiding places by walkie-talkie. Police patrol streets to prevent price gouging and looting.
    “Israel has destroyed the buildings, but Hamas is still here,” Ahmed Yousef, a Hamas spokesman, said Thursday, the sixth day of the bombing campaign. “There is no anxiety over the existence of Hamas — even if they destroy all of Gaza — because we are among the people.”

The rest of that informative article is also worth reading. Including this:

    The initial round of Israeli bombing wiped out key police installations, and Hamas officials say 185 members of the group’s security forces are among the nearly 400 dead. Hamas security men have slipped into civilian clothes to avoid being targeted, but still patrol the streets. Hamas’ Al Aqsa TV and radio have broadcast a toll-free number for residents to make criminal complaints.
    Policemen direct traffic and run checkpoints near bombed-out government buildings to prevent scavenging. They tour gas stations, bakeries and groceries to make sure owners don’t take advantage of growing shortages to hike prices.
    On Tuesday, two Hamas plainclothes police officers drove up to a small gas station in Gaza City and learned from customers that the price for diesel fuel had tripled. They approached the owner who swiftly lowered the price.
    Hamas inspectors with scales visit bakers, making sure that the government-fixed price for bread — 55 pitas for 7 shekels, about $2 — is being honored.

I note there is a key difference between the situation of Hamas under Israel’s assault in Gaza today and the PLO when it came under a very similar Israeli assault in Lebanon, in 1982. On that earlier occasion, the Palestinians received considerable help from a portion of Lebanon’s population. But as the assault– and particularly the seven-week siege of West Beirut– dragged on, many of the PLO’s Lebanese allies became very depressed because of the continued battering their city was taking. (In Lebanon, too, there was always a large chunk of the populace that hated the Palestinians and was working very actively indeed to support Israel’s attacks against them.)
Finally, after eight weeks of that war, Lebanese PM Shafiq Wazzan, who had been a long-time, if never very enthusiastic, supporter of the PLO presence in Lebanon, persuaded Yasser Arafat to negotiate a ceasefire that saved some of his forces but sent them sailing off to some very distant Arab countries. (Sharon’s massacres of Palestinians at Sabra and Shatila ensued.)
This time, by contrast, Gaza’s defenders are fighting to defend a small portion of their own country. Adding to their current determination are these other facts about them:

    (1) The status quo ante they had to live in prior to this war was itself quite unacceptable– as were, too, the lengthy preceding years of direct Israeli occupation. So the Gazawis don’t even have as much “stake” as, for example, Hizbullah’s people did in 2006, in seeing a ceasefire that would give them a return to the status-quo-ante;
    (2) Though Gaza is a part of Palestine, some 80% of its people are refugees from other parts of Palestine. So though many Gazans do have a deep concern for the physical infrastructure of the Strip, still, many of them also harbor very long-held and deep claims against Israel, including very large property claims, along with a correspondingly deep sense of resentment that these claims have never been seriously addressed in the many rounds of alleged “peace diplomacy” that have occurred over recent decades.

But all these socioeconomic facts about Gaza’s population would count for nothing if Hamas and its antecedent movements had not also been working hard for the past 25-30 years to organize their supporters in such a way as to build and rebuild the resilience of their constituency.
In the west, too many people think that Hamas is “only” the “terrorist organization” that it’s designated to be by the US State Department. They imagine it is made up of wild-eyed, implacable Islamist radicals who have much more in common with the Afghan Taliban than with any movement that is considered “civilized” in the west.
Not so. Hamas’s founder, Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, always placed a lot of emphasis on the need for education, self-restraint, and the need to rebuild the social fabric of Palestinian constituencies torn apart by years of Israeli attacks, occupation (including the heinous divide-and-rule tactics of the Shin Bet), and physical and social dispersal. Gaza Islamic University (badly bombed by Israel earlier this week) was just one of an entire network of educational and social-welfare institutions with which Hamas sought to rebuild Gazan society. Those institutions preceded the creation of Hamas as an armed political movement, which happened in 1987; and they have continued to operate alongside Hamas ever since. (You can read a lot more about Hamas’s history here or here.)
Another indicator of the resilience of Hamas is that the movement has suffered numerous rounds of extremely serious decapitating attacks in the past 15 years– including the assassinations of Ahmed Yassin and numerous other top leaders in 2004– but still, its systems for educating successive generations of youth and for cultivating leadership skills in a broad array of skill-sets, not just the military, means that those leaders were replaced by others of considerable experience. Those assassinations never resulted in the breaking up of the movement. Indeed, the leaders who have survived– and their followers– now have an even flintier sense of dedication to their nationalist/Islamist cause because of the fires they’ve lived through and the colleagues and former mentors whom they’ve lost.
As of now, this intriguing article from Radio Netherlands tells us a bit about how Hamas Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh and his colleagues in the top leadership have been surviving Israel’s attacks: Literally, by going underground. I had kind of suspected as much.
… In related news, the “international community” is still showing that it is marked by a devastating vacuum of power at the leadership level. None of the non-US powers seem to have the will (or perhaps the inclination?) to try to force the desperately needed immediate and binding ceasefire resolution through the Security Council. Or at least, to force the US to cast a veto against this ceasefire, which would clarify Washington’s role in world affairs considerably right now. The EU has just turned the presidency over from France to the Czech Republic, whose leaders are still in fairly deep kowtow mode to Washington. And neither the Chinese nor the Russians seem eager to confront Washington at this time.
White House spokesman Gordon Johndroe today stressed that any decision on whether to launch an infantry invasion of Gaza would be “Israel’s” to make. Condi Rice said that though the administration does favor a ceasefire, the administration is working to attain one “that would not allow a re-establishment of the status quo ante where Hamas can continue to launch rockets out of Gaza… It is obvious that that ceasefire should take place as soon as possible, but we need a ceasefire that is durable and sustainable.”
Right. No-one wants a return to the status-quo-ante. The big remaining question though, is in which direction will it end getting tipped? That is precisely what the two sides are fighting about.
… And at the Arab/regional level, both Egypt and Jordan had to deploy riot police today to beat back crowds of pro-Gaza demonstrators that gathered after Friday prayers. Both these increasingly repressive states receive considerable backing–including for their police forces– from the US, and both have peace treaties with Israel. In Amman, the crowd was reported as 60,000 strong. There were other anti-Israeli demonstrations in other Muslim countries. In the West Bank, pro-Hamas protesters were beaten back by (US-trained) Fateh police units.
Two useful sources for learning about what’s happening in Egypt are the blog of the leftist activist Arabawy, part of a network that’s making some excellent use of the new media (including Jaiku), and the website of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood.
Ceasefire now! And link that directly to a speedy UN effort to define and implement a durable and fair final peace between these two deeply troubled peoples.

10 thoughts on “The roots of Hamas resilience”

  1. H,
    I commend your no-nonsense blogging. I am astonished, as a Geographer, and as someone who lived in Gaza for a month, how people actually fail to understand how TINY Gaza is (the size of San Fran); imagine the hundreds of bombing raids
    on such a small place…thinking in terms of scale will help imagine what a high-density earthquake is going on there.
    I do not mind for a second feeling utter disgust at this entire situation, and particularly Rice, who in her final attempt, to shall we say, be NUANCED (ceasefire must be sustainable…well would logic not imply that one has to be in effect in order for it to be so?) and at Hamas for their reckless behavior in courting this situation…I can only think, yes from a somewhat informed Western view that Hamas’s suicidal-homicidal ideological take is yielding so much destruction on their own people…I see this as a current that is in effect…recognizing that this is a Western-inspired understanding of human behavior…however, not all western-based analysis is to be tossed out the bathwater…
    How tragic.

  2. 1937-1939 – Setting the stage:
    “During this period of command over Etzel [Irgun] by Moshe Rosenberg and David Raziel, a great many assaults (some of them en masse) were carried out against Arab bystanders and shoppers: men, women and children (November 1937- July 1939).…
    It would seem that these operations had no known restraining influence on the Arab terror. On the contrary, they caused the Jews great damage by driving moderate Arabs into the ranks of the extremists. ”
    -Bauer, From Diplomacy to Resistance, p. 14.
    Late 1947. One hundred thousand British troops have been driven out of Palestine. Some urban elites accept the inevitable:
    “Crowds of Arabs gathered all day with their belongings at the stations of the interurban bus companies, bound for “quiet villages” and the taxi companies are busy transferring the well-to-do Arab families to the Lebanon. According to Arab sources, thousands of their people are leaving Haifa. Trucks are said to be asking LP.50 to LP. 100 a day for moving furniture.”
    -Palestine Post, December 11, 1947, p.1.
    The more stubborn elites are convinced:
    18 April 1948 : the Qatamon, Jerusalem.
    “Day and night, the heavy artillery shelling and firing of machine guns has been continuous, as if we were on a battlefield…Night falls and we cannot get any sleep, and we say that when the morning comes we shall leave our neighborhood of Qatamon for somewhere else, or leave the country altogether.”
    -Benny Morris, The Birth of the Palestinian Refugee Problem 1947-49, p.51; quotations from the diary of Khalil Sakakini.
    And the villagers, well…:
    5 June 1949: Ja’una, Khisas, Qeitiya.
    “‘The remaining inhabitants of Ja’una, east of Safad, and Khisas and Qeitiya in the Galilee panhandle, were at midnight 5 June surrounded by IDF units, forced into trucks ‘with brutality…with kicks, curses and maltreatment’ (in the words of Mapam Knesset Member and Al Hamishmar editor Eliezer Pra’i), and dumped on a bare sun-scorched hillside near the village of ‘Aqbara, just south of Safad. The 55 Khisas villagers complained that they had been ‘forced with their hands destroy their dwellings,’ had been treated like ‘cattle,’ and their wives and children were ‘wandering in the wilderness near ‘Aqbara thirsty and hungry.'”
    “The June evictions moved American charge d’affaires Richard Ford to reflect about the fate of Israel’s Arab minority: ‘The unhappy spectacle presents itself of some scores of thousands of aimless people ‘walking about in thistle fields’ until they either decide to shake the ancestral dust of Israel from their heels or simply die.”
    -Morris, The Birth of the Palestinian Refugee Problem
    1947-49, p. 242.

  3. thanks for this excellent post. Regarding US culpability in the killing of Nizar Rayyan, there is this: ‘CNN Pentagon correspondent Barbara Starr believes that Israel’s use of American weapons against civilians “is becoming very problematic.” She notes, for example, that the 2000 pound bomb which killed a Hamas leader and members of his family on Thursday “is part of the billions of dollars that Israel has spent buying weapons from the United States.”‘
    Here’s the source: http://rawstory.com/news/2008/CNN_U.S._weapons_create_Gaza_civilian_0102.html

  4. The single biggest issue for Hamas and Gaza in general seems to be a lifting of the Israeli blockade. If that is not part of the ceasefire agreement there will not be an agreement. Could things get any worse for Gaza than they were? Yes, the massacre could go on, but all the easy targets are gone now and all that is left for the Israel is totally indiscriminate bombing of the civilian population or a ground incursion. Either of these will cause massive civilian casualties that even the passive international community will not be able to tolerate and/or significant IDF casualties which Israelis will not tolerate.
    If the border is opened, Hamas can claim a major victory and Abbas and Fatah will be further discredited and weakened. If the border is not opened there will be no ceasefire regardless of the punishment short of total reoccupation. Hamas has nothing more to lose at this point. So despite overwhelming military superiority, Israel seems to have once again put itself in a lose-lose situation strategically.

  5. Jack, you have outlined a Clausewitzian progression from advantage, to exploitation of advantage, to exhaustion of advantage, back to no advantage.
    That’s fine and true when all sides are behaving rationally, but the Israelis are aware of all this and so they are not behaving rationally. They are behaving like wild beasts, because they can. They can behave like wild beasts because they are subsidised and protected.
    Hence such Clausewitzian logic fails to apply at the level of the Gaza “theatre”. It only applies at the world level, and then only if there is a conscious and concerted worldwide counter-offensive against the neo-colonialists; and in some sense at least, there is such a counter-offensive.

  6. Helena
    Is it wise to point people at sites like Muslim Brotherhood?
    Some countries are now tracking which websites people visit in an effort to profile the hundreds of plots they are terrified they don’t know about yet.
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7805610.stm
    Faiza’s son Khalid got banged up in Iraq for visiting a website on campus.

  7. Frank, I know that in many countries– certainly including my own– people get put on watch lists or subjected to even harsher treatment simply for visiting websites. This is a severe violation of people’s free-speech rights.
    I can see a possible reason for such watch-listing or repression if people are visiting sites that advocate and organize acts of violence and use those sites to help with that organizing. None of the sites I recommend or link to do that.
    Additional to that, the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood have kept to an intentionally adopted commitment to nonviolence since the early 1980s– and kept to it, moreover in the face of often harsh brutality from Hosni Mubarak’s regime.
    So not only do I refuse to be intimidated by all the governments around the world that would curtail free-speech rights unjustifiably, I consider it an act of positive solidarity to recommend and link to sites like the two I linked to here. Plus, even more fundamentally, these two sites provide excellent information that is far too hard for most westerners to learn of through the MSM.

  8. Interesting question Frank, and I’d like to take Helena’s reply one step further.
    Even if one would accept the most negative characterization of this or that “terrorist” web site, and if we conceded that it advocated violent means, where are you going with this concern about wisdom of us putting up links to such sites?
    I happen to regularly visit, read, and learn from a host of Iran based web sites. (including some that ironically feature Israelis of various stripes) Starting right at the top, the web site of Iran’s leader provides official texts and translations of his speaches, sermons, & writings, in multiple languages.
    I go there as a sholar, as one seeking to learn more fully of Iranian positions and thinking. Does that make me part of “the Mullah’s lobby” — as hacks like Hassan Dai would claim?
    Or take an even more curious case, would you also not want posted links to al-qaeda affiliated web sites? Posting material from such sites should not be equated with endorsing their agenda or opinions. If anything, the scholars who do monitor such web sites have gleaned much useful information — as well as documenting al-qaeda’s own international strategy.
    Last year, when I posted quotes from Zarqawi, (albeit via a USG translation service) I did so precisely to demonstrate the intense ideological tensions between al-qaeda and Iran.

  9. Helena and Scott
    My comment was really to wonder if we might inadvertently build part of a case against somebody who reads but doesn’t comment on this site by directing them to a monitored site.
    I do tend to stop and think a little before I click on links.
    Wasn’t there an academic who lost his job not long ago for downloading a paper he had been emailed.

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