While Obama is in Kabul, I hope he gets the chance to talk to Rory Stewart, whose recent piece on Time.com “How to Save Afghanistan” has a lot of good sense in it. (Hat-tip Bob Consoli.)
Stewart is the former British SAS officer who published a very well-received book about walking across Afghanistan and who then returned to Kabul to set up a work project in the Old City. He’s on his way to head the Carr Center for Human Rights at Harvard.
The main point in Stewart’s essay that I applaud (and that I really hope Obama hears from him in person, while he’s in Kabul) is his argument that the solution in Afghanistan is not to deploy more US or other NATO troops there. He argues that the mission of the US/western troops who are there should be limited to counter-terrorism– leaving the Afghan government to get on with counter-insurgency and strengthening its administrative and political capabilities throughout the country.
Stewart is right to note that strengthening the Kabul government’s hold on the country (and its ability to deliver services to it) cannot be the job of westerners.
However, I think he is still arguing from within far too westocentric a perspective. He makes no mention of the possibility of any other actors than the western powers doing anything useful to help Afghanistan. Why not? After all, what the heck is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization doing in Afghanistan in the first place. Except prop up US power there, that is. But why should either the US or NATO be the prime providers of outside support to Afghanistan, and the prime deciders on the many, very tough security decisions that need to be made in that country. Afghanistan is– has anyone else noticed this?– very far indeed from both the US and the North Atlantic. It truly defies logic to suppose that the US and NATO should have any longterm special role there at all.
Maybe, too, Stewart should follow the logic of his argument that the “solution” in Afghanistan is not a western military solution a good bit further. He strongly suggests that western militaries would be better involved in Pakistan, Egypt, Iran, or Lebanon than in Afghanistan. But those would all be terrible mistakes! Under what mandate would they intervene in any of those countries? And what, pray, would US or other NATO troops actually do in Iran, Egypt, or anj of those other countires?
Bring the US and NATO troops home. Let their skills be put to good use rebuilding our own countries. Further military adventures overseas would be disastrous. The challenges in all those countries mentioned by Stewart have many, much sounder solutions than any that would involve the application of western military power.
5 thoughts on “Talking of Afghanistan”
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Sometimes observers say that countries like Afghanistan are politically less developed than the west. Perhaps the opposite is more accurate. Afghanistan has an unbelievable web of high-energy political parties and factions. All of them are doing their best to promote their own interests and no deal is off the table. In fact, they are constantly looking for an angle or new possible opportunity. Westerners hate this and become frustrated and blame the national leaders for whatever is going wrong.
That condition requires more political management than westerners are able to understand and often they do not want to understand it. The national leaders also have much difficulty knowing and controlling what is going on.
But—-“Yard by yard life is hard; inch by inch it is a cinch.” Small is better and more manageable even though it is still very complex. Whenever something works, it is the result of local leaders spending several days and nights until 2:00 AM planning how to do something that includes all of the stakeholders. Whew!!
Bob Spencer
I found it. Armando Geller really has a deep understanding of Afghan factional politics. Just check the diagram and wonder if any westerner dropping in from wherever could make sense of what’s happening. Download his article and you will learn valuable stuff.
http://www.terraplexic.org/review/2008/7/5/modeling-afghan-power-structures.html
Bob Spencer
Just a small point, I’m being very picky about details after finishing Jane Mayer’s book: I don’t think Stewart was in the SAS. The Black Watch maybe but just for a short time, I think.
Black Watch, you’re right. Thanks for the correction.
This is an intriguing article published in today’s Teheran Times regarding the growing dilemna faced by the Pakastani government as a result of the increasing Talibanization of the FATA (Federally Administered Tribal Areas).
Should the new Pakastani government and its army take on the FATA jihadists to relieve pressure on its American allies (and economic benefactor) fighting the Taliban in nearby Afghanistan?
That hasn’t worked in the past. And would not such a course of action likely bring the scourge of militant violence and destabilization to nonFATA parts of Pakistan?
The author analogizes Pakistan’s predicament to Cambodia’s Hobson Choice during the war in Vietnam as a result of the Viet Cong supply routes and sanctuary in nearby Cambodia.
http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=173605