The elephant in the Iraqi chamber

The narrative that the Bush administration and its apologists have
been trying to peddle regarding Iraq is that a “sovereign” Iraqi
parliament is now in power in Baghdad, and the government confirmed
yesterday by that parliament is now well launched on its task of
restoring peace and order in the country. (And if, um, the Iraqi
government should fail at that– well, that would be their own fault,
wouldn’t it?)

This narrative completely ignores the “elephant in the room” of
Iraqi politics, i.e. the continuing and heavy-handed influence
exercised over the Iraqi parliament and government by US officials,
primarily “Ambassador”– in reality, “Viceroy”– Zalmay Khalilzad.

Indeed, Khalilzad was actually in the chamber yesterday
during the crucial parliamentary session that confirmed PM Maliki’s
(still incomplete) government list. WaPo reporters Nelson Hernandez and
Omar Fekeiki made clear in this
report that Khalilzad was not only present but also helping to
direct and stage-manage events there:

    The Iraqi national anthem, “My Homeland,” played in
    an endless
    loop as politicians slowly gathered. Khalilzad shook hands with Iraqi
    leaders as Western security guards looked on.

    While a man read a verse from the Koran, Khalilzad talked to
    a Sunni leader, then abruptly stood up and left the room. He returned a
    few minutes later with Adnan al-Dulaimi and Khalaf al-Elayan, two
    leaders of the main Sunni coalition, who both appeared to be reluctant
    to attend.

The fact of Khalilzad’s very “active-duty” presence inside the
chamber intrigued me. One of my main points of reference is the
Lebanese parliament, from having watched it throughout many years in
which it was subjected to very heavyhanded interference from (at
different times) both the Syrians and the Israelis.

Throughout all those years one crucial task for the outside
power was to control the outcome of the crucial vote in which the
Beirut parliament elected the country’s president.  It always did
this indirectly, through two main mechanisms:

    (1) its complete control over physical access to the
    parliament
    building, and

    (2) reliance on a broad network of allies– whether
    ideological allies, or allies-for-hire– from among the body of the
    parliamentarians.

In my recollection, not once did the local Syrian (or Israeli)
viceroy ever actually have to go inside the parliamentary chamber
in order to direct developments there.

To do so would, after all, give the lie to the whole “story”
about the independence of Lebanon!

And I imagine the same was true in most of the parliaments of
East and Central Europe during the years of Soviet domination… (I
wonder, too, whether the local South African viceroys would actually go
inside the parliaments of the nominally “independent” Bantistans to
direct crucial political developments there?)

It is blindingly clear to me that the fact that Khalilzad felt
he had to go into the chamber (and not just as a passive
“guest” or “observer”) signals a deep failure of Washington’s political
project inside Iraq. If you look at those two mechanisms of indirect
control of a parliament that I identified above, it is clear that the
US forces have completely control physical access to the Iraqi parliament,
which is located inside the “Green Zone”. But what the US
administrators in Iraq evidently lack is any confidence that the
parliamentarians gathered inside the chamber would, if left alone out
of Khalilzad’s sight, act at his bidding.

That, despite the huge amounts of money the US has always had
available to hand out as bribes to Iraqi political figures!

In Lebanon, throughout the long years of Syria’s overlordship
there, financial incentives were a strong feature of parliament’s
every-six-years “election” of a president. It was quite a common
observation that the Lebanese MPs would be engaging in an elaborate
game of financial “chicken”, since the price paid for each individual
MP’s vote would increase steeply as the Syrians (or in 1982, Israelis)
came close to meeting the number needed for the election to succeed–
but once that number had been reliably reached, the price would
suddenly plummet to zero.

Gosh, playing that game that must have been one of the hardest
and most stressful jobs those MPs ever had to do during their very
lengthy terms in power…

But in Iraq, despite the huge amount of money the US
administrators have available, and the evident current penury of most
Iraqis, Khalilzad can’t even be certain he can reliably line up a
parliamentary vote in the direction he wants without being physically
present inside the chamber?? What is happening here???

(This fact actually gives me cause for some real hope that the
parliament is not going to act as merely a rubber-stamp for the
Bushists’ desires and projects in Iraq…)

Also on the topic of this “elephant” in the Iraqi chamber, I
read with interest this
piece by John Burns in today’s NYT.

He writes that, in contrast with the policy the US
administrators adopted in spring 2005 during the long-drawn-out process
Ibrahim Jaafari went through as he formed the Iraqi transitional
government–

    This time, American officials played a muscular
    role
    in
    vetting and negotiating over the new cabinet. Dismayed at what they
    have described as the Jaafari government’s incompetence, American
    officials reversed the hands-off approach that characterized American
    policy as Mr. Jaafari formed his cabinet in early 2005.

    Then, the policy laid down by John D. Negroponte, President
    Bush’s first ambassador to Iraq, now back in Washington as director of
    national intelligence, was to respect Iraq’s standing as a sovereign
    state, avoiding heavy-handed American interference in the government’s
    formation to discourage an attitude of dependence among Iraqi leaders.

    During these [current] negotiations, diplomatic sensitivities
    were played down as the envoy who succeeded Mr. Negroponte last summer,
    Zalmay Khalilzad, acted as a tireless midwife in the birthing of the
    new government. An Afghan-born scholar who worked on Iraq policy in
    Washington prior to the invasion, Mr. Khalilzad worked closely with Mr. Maliki,
    the new prime minister, in reviewing candidates for crucial ministries,
    and shuttling between rival Iraqi party leaders in an effort to sign
    them up to the American vision of a national unity government.

Um, how about Mr. Maliki’s vision of a national unity government? 
I thought he was the Iraqi Prime Minister??

But what about that “muscular” role? What an interesting choice of
adjective. I’d love to have someone specify more precisely what it
means…

Burns tells us how his unnamed “American officials” view the new
PM.  He writes that they,

    privately hailed the transition of
    power from Mr. Jaafari to Mr. Maliki. While the two men have similar
    political pedigrees — both are members of a Shiite religious party,
    Dawa, which was an early opponent of Mr. Hussein, and both fled Iraq in
    the early 1980’s to escape a murderous purge of Dawa loyalists —
    American officials who have dealt with both men expect Mr. Maliki to
    bring to the post a level of competence, decisiveness and
    straightforwardness they say was painfully lacking in Mr. Jaafari.

    One thing that remains unclear is how much independence Mr.
    Maliki will have from attempts to exercise oversight by Mr. Jaafari,
    who remains the new prime minister’s political superior as Dawa’s
    leader, and who resisted pressures to relinquish the government
    leadership for weeks until all but his closest loyalists abandoned him.

Burns is an interesting reporter. He most likely doesn’t know
very much about Iraq at all apart from what the people in the US
administration in Baghdad tell him. But he is well connected to high
officials in the US administration there, and probably reports publicly
on a decent proportion of whatever it is he hears from them.

In that entire article today, he identified not a single
source by name. Instead, in his second paragraph there he indicated
only that it was based on conversations with “a wide range of
[American] officers and diplomats interviewed before Saturday’s
events.”

In his lede (lead paragraph), he conveyed what I read as a sense
among these people that the Bushist project in Iraq might well
fail rather badly
over the months ahead:

    As Iraq’s new government was announced Saturday,
    some senior
    American military and civilian officials watched from the sidelines,
    apprehensive that they were witnessing what might be the last chance to
    save the American enterprise in Iraq from a descent into chaos and
    civil war.

Actually, though Burns names none of his sources for this article
by name, it is my assumption that one of the sources was most likely Khalilzad
himself
. And if not Khalilzad, then one or more of his high-ranking
aides who were given permission by Khalilzad to speak to him.
I conclude this because there is a classic piece of Washingtonian
rear-end-covering included near the end of the article:

    American officials temper their criticism of the
    Jaafari
    government with an acknowledgment that the Bush administration, with
    its early hostility to “nation building” after the 2003 invasion, paid
    scant attention to the need to help develop governmental competence,
    and say that the past three years were largely squandered as a result.

In other words– if and when the whole US project in Iraq falls
apart disastrously, please don’t blame Khalilzad!

18 thoughts on “The elephant in the Iraqi chamber”

  1. Great post Helena. The U.S. is indeed the ‘elephant’ in the room. It is a sad time in our country that such information as your post is not shouted from the ‘main stream’ media, but must be found on the internet, where it can be dismissed as mere ‘bloggery’.
    What you describe with Lebanon and Iraq is colonialism as practiced by the western powers throughout history. It’s doomed to failure. Just think of how long the Iraqi ‘government’ would last if they met OUTSIDE the green zone. Not long.
    In my opinion chaos and mass death is inevitable in Iraq, and perhaps in the whole region. When a whole government is considered Quislings by a large percentage of the public and they also consider violence their only option there is no hope.
    And I stick to my original position of months ago (soon to be years ago) that that is exactly what was originally ‘planned’ for Iraq. Chaos, mass poverty, dependance on the ‘outside’ for security, long term military presence so as to project American ‘interests’ in the region.
    Juan Cole’s post today of the FOUR ongoing wars in Iraq point towards the future.
    .

  2. helena – OT sorry but have you seen this site http://www.michaeltotten.com
    I was wondering if you knew or were familiar with this particular reporter. He seems to be well traveled / experienced but for some reason I was really put off by his style. He doesn’t seem to be at all cut out for the type of thing he is doing. But then again, I have no idea what I’M talking about

  3. كم
    عمي العزيز كيف حالك وحال العائلة الكريمه اتمنى ان يكون الجميع بألف خير.
    نحن بخير الحمد لله، ولكن الوضع في المنطقة سيء جداً حيث حصل بعص الأضطراب هذه الأيام في المنطقة ولكن بعيد عناَ قليلاَ في ( حي الفرات ) وكذالك تم الاعتداء على الجامع القريب من بيتناَ ( جامع فخري ابراهيم شنشل ) بقنبله يدويه حيث قتل شخصين وجرح شخصين اخرين، وهذا الوضع العام في البلد وخصوصاَ بغداد حيث تشهد اضطرابات في كل يوم في كل ساعة كل شيء سيء مع الأسف حتى الحكومة الجديدة الناس متأكدون من فشلها قبل ان تبدء اعمالها مع الأسف، من الصعب ان يشاهد الشخص بلده ينحدر من سيء الى اسوء وهو يتفرج ولا يستطيع ان يفعل شيء ويرى قتل لكل شخص يحب البلد ويعمل على انقاذه ولو بالكلام عندما تحب بلدك وتتحدث عن حبك للبلد وغيرتك عليه يؤدي بك هذا الى قتلك بك سهوله وبساطه،
    الحمد لله على كل حال ونسأل الله ان ينقذنا من ما نحن فيه من ظلم، انه على كل شيء قدير.

  4. That, despite the huge amounts of money the US has always had available to hand out bribes to Iraqi political figures!
    Show Me The Money? From where that money “the US has always had available”?
    I had doc., written by Iraqi Minister of Finance stated that the oil export during 2005 till know is 1.8-2Million B/D, “Helena if you like to see the report I can send it to you”.
    Like Belfor declaration in 1917 givted not his own land to the people without land
    وهـــب الامـــير بمــا لا يمــلك”

  5. You describe Khalizad: “An Afghan-born scholar who worked on Iraq policy in Washington prior to the invasion”.
    Please, read “Ghost Wars”, it won a Pulitzer prize.
    When Clinton was president, Khalizad was the leader of the UNOCAL effort to put
    a pipeline through Afghanistan, he is the man who
    brought the Taliban leaders to USA in an attempt to gain their approval for the pipeline project.
    He actually said: “The Taliban does not practice the
    anti-US style of fundamentalism practiced by Iran.”
    After Bush became president and Khalizad joined the team, his view of the Taliban changed, perhaps because they killed Karzai’s father.

  6. الانتخابات إحدى ركائز الديموقراطية، حتى لا نقول من مظاهرها، ولكنها لا تكفي وحدها لتجسيد قاعدة للحياة العامة، أي لاستقرار المجتمعات ورسوخ حقوق المواطن في دولته.
    أما في العراق فإن الانتخابات التي جرت بالأمر الأميركي، ووفق دستور مفروض في ظل شرخ ضرب وحدة المجتمع وأعاده إلى مكوناته الأصلية (عناصر وطوائف ومذاهب وأكثريات داخل الأكثرية وأقليات داخل الأقليات)، لم تكن الطريق الأقصر إلى الديموقراطية التي لا يمكن اعتبار الحكومة الجديدة التي وُلدت بعملية قيصرية (وبالأمر الأميركي) وبمساومات طائفية ومذهبية جارحة، ثمرة للديموقراطية وبالتالي ضمانة لوحدة الشعب والأرض والكيان السياسي.
    الطائفية لا تنجب ديموقراطية، وكذلك العشائرية، فكيف بالاحتلال الأجنبي.
    على الطريق عن الديموقراطيات العربية

  7. Why even discuss the so-called “Iraqi government?” No such thing exists outside the realm of propaganda. To write about this or that Green Zone politician, or even to criticize the impotence, ineptitude and corruption of this group of puppets, is to promote the narrative of the puppetmasters. If people are talking and writing about an Iraqi government, then there must be one, and if there is one (especially a weak, pathetic one), then there is a purpose for the continuing occupation other than murder, destruction, pillage and plunder.
    Helena, you see more clearly than most, but I think sometimes even you have allowed yourself to be caught up in the game.

  8. Any one who gives any sort of credence to a reporter for The New York Times has to be kidding.
    Mr. Burns like Judith Miller and the rest of the Mr. Wongs (and who knows in future Tongs) who write for this sordid newspaper are all in the pocket books of special interests to whom they answer everyday.
    The real issue here is sovereignty of Iraq. Is it or is it not a free county? When you are occupied by 1/6 million soldiers from other countries how sovereign can you be?

  9. Re commnets by Posted by: John C. at May 21, 2006 10:17 PM
    Excellent.
    Who was it that said I don’t care what they talk about me, so long as they talk about me? or words to that effect.
    I think the idea here is to create an illusion of stability, hence the “poodle” flying in for a very quick and secure dog and pony show, and then stating how good this is for us all.
    If things are so good why are our brothers and sisters dying there every week?

  10. Re comments by Posted by: John C. at May 21, 2006 10:17 PM
    Excellent.
    Who was it that said I don’t care what they talk about me, so long as they talk about me? or words to that effect.
    I think the idea here is to create an illusion of stability, hence the “poodle” flying in for a very quick and secure dog and pony show, and then stating how good this is for us all.
    If things are so good why are our brothers and sisters dying there every week?

  11. Free Iraq will be ‘devastating defeat’ for Al-Qaeda: Bush
    The Answer….
    The War the Media is Not Reporting — An Iraqi Veteran Speaks Out
    “Jesse Macbeth, formerly a Special Forces Ranger in Iraq, is now active with Iraq Veterans Against the War in Tacoma, Washington. The Rangers are elite units sent door-to-door in Iraq to combat the insurgency. They were also sent into Fallujah to crush all opposition to the occupation of that city. Justice recently interviewed Jesse.”

  12. “Any one who gives any sort of credence to a reporter for The New York Times has to be kidding.”
    Imran, I think your comments are a little harsh. Yes, the NYT is a capitalist institution, constrained to behave in the ways described by Chomsky and others. However, this does not mean that every reporter who works for NYT is “in the pocket books of special interests.” To appreciate what a guy like John Burns does, you have to pay attention to nuance and innuendo. In other words, read between the lines. As Helena’s post suggests, much is conveyed by what is NOT said. I would think these techniques would be recognized and appreciated by reporters working under totalitarian regimes around the world.

  13. Salah:
    Thank for the Arabic posts, which provide me personally with insights into the local Iraqi scene. However, While some readers of your posts read arabic and appreciate what you are trying to convey, many don’t. They, I imagine, would be baffled by what is to them incomprehensible postings hanging in there with no context or explanations . As a courtesy to those not versed in Arabic among the audience of this forum, I sugest that you summarize/explain what the cited passages say in English and post links for those of us more familiar with the native language.

  14. tc,
    First my apology to those can’t read Arabic, in fact I wish to put some summary for it but because my English not quite right makes me hesitate to do so, but honestly I appreciate your feedback and I will do my best in the near future as I can and if the time let me.
    The reality it’s the western media feeds with views reflected one side of the stories and views in regards to Islam, Middle East, Iraq and Arabs, as common practise by the western media normally analysing things from western point view, which I sensing it here by reading the comments by different friends in this space.
    With posting some views from Arabic media it’s to bridge common understanding and views between us “Middle Eastern” and You “Western Readers” which I hope will help both sides to learn more and communicate for better life for all of us.
    Finally, thanking you very much tc.

  15. Our Problem with America
    By Saleh al-Mutlag
    18/05/2006
    Saleh al-Mutlaq is leader of the Iraqi National Dialogue Front, the fifth largest political list in Iraqi National Assembly.

  16. Could some kind soul who knows both Arabic and English translate Salah’s post?
    It would be most appreciated!
    And Salah, keep posting, in any language you can.

  17. Please do help Iraqis; each of you from your location and position, this is your mission…
    To:
    The United Nations Council
    Pan Arab Organization
    All Arabic and Islamic Kings, Presidents, and Leaders
    All Heads of States around the world
    US Congress
    All Human right Organizations
    Amnesty International
    Red Cross
    and all International Organizations
    http://www.petitiononline.com/TIHRAS/petition.html

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