Shirin (and HC) on Falluja

Well-informed JWN frequent-commenter Shirin responded to my invitation to give us more of her impressions of the history of the insurgency in Fallujah. I thought her comment, which was posted here, was worth putting into a main post, so I’ve done that (after a light edit) right here.
Thanks, Shirin!
I just want to also note the bullying ineptitude of the Negrocontra/Allawi regime in Iraq which actually detained some key Fallujah community leaders who had exited the city to come to talk to them about terms for a possible ceasefire. The US/Allawist forces detained the negotiators from Friday through Monday.
Not surprisingly, after the negotiators– who included the city’s police chief– were released, they said they were suspending any immediate further pursuit of the ceasefire talks.
Duh! This was nearly unbelievably bad behavior by the US/Allawists, which should have been much more remarked on–by me and others–back when reports of it first surfaced over the weekend.
Whether it was political ineptitude, or just plain bullying– which could, after all, be described as the same thing–that caused that behavior, the results for both Iraqis and Americans will certainly be more death, more destruction, more wounding, more hurt and suffering all round.
I’ve been following this story in Al-Hayat over the past few days, and should really show off my re-increasing command of written Arabic by quoting from one of those stories here. Instead, I’ll just lift this quote from Today in Iraq:

    Fallujah negotiator Sheik Khaled al-Jumeili said peace talks to end the standoff in Iraq’s major insurgent bastion will remain suspended as a protest against his detention by U.S. troops, who accused him of representing the militants.
    “The fact is that I’m negotiating on behalf of Fallujah people

16 thoughts on “Shirin (and HC) on Falluja”

  1. Helena,
    You consider that detaining the negotiators (some are still in custody) was “political ineptitude, or just plain bullying”, and “the results for both Iraqis and Americans will certainly be more death, more destruction, more wounding…”. Another way of thinking about that detention and its likely consequences (suspension of ceasefire talks) is to consider it was done deliberately to justify the US military campaign already underway in Fallujah by making it look like the “insurgents” are responsible for suspending the ceasefire talks. By the same token, the Zarqawi logic (give up Zarqawi or we attack) is reminiscent of the WMD logic (give up your WMD or we attack). We have not been presented any credible evidence that Zarqawi was/is in Fallujah, but we have been presented credible evidence that precision strikes do kill children and women on a daily basis in Fallujah, something the Pentagon does’nt even want to aknowledge.
    What I believe is the decision has been taken to level Fallujah beginning next month, and the American military is currently doing everything it can to escalate the situation so it finally looks like the right answer to “insurgent” violence in Fallujah is an all-out attack.

  2. Thank you for re-capping our history of bloodletting incompetence in Falluja. I had forgotten about our earlier swaggering mistakes and this post so clearly shows everything wrong in our policy: turning potential allies into bitter enemies.
    Unfortunately for this benighted city, I think Dreyfuss (blog at tompaine.com) probably has it right: An all out attack on Fallujah is the long-awaited Bush October surprise. The present ongoing bombardment has nothing to do with Zarkawi, but it is a “softening” up of the city before the main attack. Underneat massive air power, the US will sweep into a fairly easy victory from our standpoint–nevermind the terrible toll on Iraqis–and Bush will declare (as Dreyfuss notes) that we have “turned the corner” in Iraq. No such thing will of course be the case. But will Americans buy it? Never underestimate….

  3. Thank you for re-capping our history of bloodletting incompetence in Falluja. I had forgotten about our earlier swaggering mistakes and this post so clearly shows everything wrong in our policy: turning potential allies into bitter enemies.
    Unfortunately for this benighted city, I think Dreyfuss (blog at tompaine.com) probably has it right: An all out attack on Fallujah is the long-awaited Bush October surprise. The present ongoing bombardment has nothing to do with Zarkawi, but it is a “softening” up of the city before the main attack. Underneat massive air power, the US will sweep into a fairly easy victory from our standpoint–nevermind the terrible toll on Iraqis–and Bush will declare (as Dreyfuss notes) that we have “turned the corner” in Iraq. No such thing will of course be the case. But will Americans buy it? Never underestimate….

  4. the bullying ineptitude of the Negrocontra/ Allawi regime in Iraq which actually detained some key Fallujah community leaders who had exited the city to come to talk to them about terms for a possible ceasefire.
    I get the joke, but for those who don’t–Negroponte is the US Ambassador to Iraq, and de facto governor-general. He’s won notoriety because, as US Ambassador to Honduras (1980’s), he helped cover up evidence of death squads in that country; this, in order to facilitate Reagan Administration boosting of the contras.

  5. The BBC has recently published a report taken by phone from a reporter inside Falluja.
    Here are a few excerpts:
    The mood in the city is grim.
    ************
    I am not aware of any foreign fighters in Falluja.
    Ninety-nine percent of the fighters here are Fallujans.
    Local clan leaders are broadly opposed to any kind of foreign presence in the city because they fear they may be spies.
    ********
    Hospitals have all but run out of supplies and most people know this.
    But still the injured are being taken there – just so that they can be near the doctors and receive some comfort.
    ********************8
    The ordinary people of Falluja still want a peaceful solution – but they knew war was inevitable when Prime Minister Iyad Allawi issued his ultimatum earlier this week.
    **************
    They think [Allawi] simply gives the order to batter Falluja because this is what the Americans want.

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